Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Swindon Town vs Rotherham United prediction

England · League Two · 31 October 2026

Swindon Town15th · 16 pts
2 - 1Full time
Rotherham United22nd · 12 pts
Swindon TownDrawRotherham United
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Swindon Town to win (53%)
Our predictionSwindon Town to winLean
53%Probability
1.88Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.76-1.25Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Swindon Town53%1.88
  • Draw23%4.30
  • Rotherham United24%4.25

Double chance

  • Swindon Town or draw76%1.31
  • Swindon Town or Rotherham United77%1.30
  • Draw or Rotherham United47%2.14

Goals

  • Over 2.558%1.72
  • Under 2.542%2.38

Both teams to score

  • Yes59%1.70
  • No41%2.44

Match in numbers

This season, Swindon Town at home and Rotherham United away

Swindon Town (home)Rotherham United (away)
Matches66
Points per game1.830.67
Goals scored per game1.670.67
Goals conceded per game1.001.33
Shots on target per game4.32.5
Shots on target conceded5.04.7
Clean sheets0%17%
Over 2.5 goals50%33%
Both teams scored83%33%
  • Rotherham United have gone 6 league matches without a win.
  • Swindon Town: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 10th and their defence 19th in the league.
  • Rotherham United: 22nd in the table; the model rates their attack 15th and their defence 22nd in the league.

Match preview

A slight lean towards Swindon Town (53%), though Rotherham United win 24% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 23%.

At home this season Swindon Town average 1.83 points and 1.7 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Rotherham United take 0.67 points per game, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.3. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.3 per game for Swindon Town at home and 2.5 for Rotherham United on the road.

Current runs: Rotherham United have gone 6 league matches without a win.

The model expects 1.76 goals from Swindon Town and 1.25 from Rotherham United; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%, over 2.5 goals 58% and both teams to score 59%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 2-110%
  • 1-09%
  • 2-08%
  • 1-27%

Swindon Town form

LLDWD
  • Dat Bristol Rovers0-02026-10-24
  • Wat Barnet3-12026-10-20
  • Dvs Walsall1-12026-10-17
  • Lvs Crewe Alexandra0-12026-10-10
  • Lat Rochdale0-12026-10-03

Rotherham United form

LLLDD
  • Dvs Shrewsbury Town3-32026-10-24
  • Dvs Newport County2-22026-10-20
  • Lat Fleetwood Town0-22026-10-17
  • Lvs Gillingham1-42026-10-10
  • Lat Exeter City0-12026-10-03

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

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Prediction made 2026-10-31 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.