Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Rochdale27%3.75
- Draw25%4.07
- York City49%2.05
Double chance
- Rochdale or draw51%1.95
- Rochdale or York City75%1.33
- Draw or York City73%1.36
Goals
- Over 2.560%1.67
- Under 2.540%2.49
Both teams to score
- Yes61%1.65
- No39%2.54
Match in numbers
This season, Rochdale at home and York City away
| Rochdale (home) | York City (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| Points per game | 1.43 | 0.43 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.43 | 1.14 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.86 | 2.29 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.7 | 5.4 |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 86% |
- Rochdale have gone 5 league matches without a win.
- York City have scored in 7 straight league matches.
- Rochdale: 20th in the table; the model rates their attack 22nd and their defence 24th in the league.
- York City: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 3rd and their defence 18th in the league.
- Our predictions for York City matches: 3 of 3 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards York City (49%), though Rochdale win 27% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 25%.
At home this season Rochdale average 1.43 points and 1.4 goals per game, conceding 1.9. Away from home York City take 0.43 points per game, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.3. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 3.3 per game for Rochdale at home and 3.1 for York City on the road.
Current runs: Rochdale have gone 5 league matches without a win; York City have scored in 7 straight league matches.
The model expects 1.31 goals from Rochdale and 1.78 from York City; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%, over 2.5 goals 60% and both teams to score 61%.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 1-29%
- 0-18%
- 0-27%
- 2-17%
Rochdale form
- Lat Port Vale2-42026-10-31
- Lvs Accrington Stanley0-52026-10-24
- Dvs Grimsby Town2-22026-10-20
- Lat Crewe Alexandra2-32026-10-17
- Dat Tranmere Rovers1-12026-10-10
York City form
- Lat Grimsby Town2-52026-10-31
- Lat Barnet1-32026-10-27
- Wvs Port Vale2-02026-10-24
- Dvs Accrington Stanley1-12026-10-20
- Dat Newport County1-12026-10-17
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
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Northampton TownPrediction last updated 2026-11-09 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.