Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley prediction

Match preview

A slight lean towards Port Vale (45%), though Accrington Stanley win 26% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 28%.

At home this season Port Vale average 2.33 points and 1.3 goals per game, conceding 0.5. Away from home Accrington Stanley take 0.86 points per game, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.7 per game for Port Vale at home and 4.1 for Accrington Stanley on the road.

Current runs: Accrington Stanley are unbeaten in 8 league matches.

Port Vale sit 19th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 9th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

The model expects 1.25 goals from Port Vale and 1.00 from Accrington Stanley; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13%, over 2.5 goals 39% and both teams to score 45%.

In their last 4 league meetings Port Vale won 1, Accrington Stanley won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

• 1-013%
• 1-113%
• 0-111%
• 0-010%
• 2-08%

Port Vale form

• Wvs Rochdale4-22026-10-31
• Lat York City0-22026-10-24
• Dat Gillingham1-12026-10-20
• Wvs Chesterfield1-02026-10-17
• Wvs Grimsby Town1-02026-10-10

Accrington Stanley form

• Dvs Northampton Town1-12026-10-31
• Wat Rochdale5-02026-10-24
• Dat York City1-12026-10-20
• Wvs Gillingham3-12026-10-17
• Dat Oldham Athletic0-02026-10-10