Colchester United vs Gillingham prediction

Match preview

Colchester United have the edge at 47%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 27% and a win for Gillingham at 25%.

At home this season Colchester United average 1.50 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Gillingham take 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.4. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Colchester United manage 4.0 per home game and Gillingham 2.9 per away game.

Form lines: Colchester United have gone 10 league matches without a win.

Colchester United sit 23rd in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 14th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Gillingham are 8th in the table while the model ranks them only 20th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Expected goals from the model: Colchester United 1.50, Gillingham 1.05. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 47%.

In their last 5 league meetings Colchester United won 1, Gillingham won 1 and 3 ended level.

Most likely scores

• 1-112%
• 1-012%
• 2-19%
• 2-09%
• 0-18%

Colchester United form

• Lvs Walsall1-32026-10-31
• Lat Northampton Town0-22026-10-24
• Dat Chesterfield1-12026-10-20
• Dvs Exeter City0-02026-10-17
• Lat Newport County0-12026-10-10

Gillingham form

• Wat Shrewsbury Town2-12026-10-31
• Lvs Grimsby Town1-42026-10-24
• Dvs Port Vale1-12026-10-20
• Lat Accrington Stanley1-32026-10-17
• Wat Rotherham United4-12026-10-10