Crewe Alexandra vs Newport County prediction

Match preview

A slight lean towards Crewe Alexandra (49%), though Newport County win 24% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 27%.

At home this season Crewe Alexandra average 1.86 points and 1.7 goals per game, conceding 1.1. Away from home Newport County take 0.43 points per game, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.6. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.0 per game for Crewe Alexandra at home and 3.1 for Newport County on the road.

Crewe Alexandra are 4th in the table while the model ranks them only 16th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Newport County are 14th in the table while the model ranks them only 21st on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

The model expects 1.39 goals from Crewe Alexandra and 1.02 from Newport County; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13%, over 2.5 goals 43% and both teams to score 48%.

In their last 5 league meetings Newport County won 3 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

• 1-013%
• 1-112%
• 0-19%
• 2-19%
• 0-09%

Crewe Alexandra form

• Dvs Barnet1-12026-10-31
• Lat Chesterfield1-52026-10-24
• Lat Exeter City0-22026-10-20
• Wvs Rochdale3-22026-10-17
• Wat Swindon Town1-02026-10-10

Newport County form

• Wvs Chesterfield4-12026-10-30
• Lat Cheltenham Town0-12026-10-24
• Dat Rotherham United2-22026-10-20
• Dvs York City1-12026-10-17
• Wvs Colchester United1-02026-10-10