Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield prediction

England · League Two · 14 November 2026

Bristol Rovers17th · 16 pts
Sat 14 Nov
Chesterfield10th · 19 pts
Bristol RoversDrawChesterfield
Our predictionChesterfield to winOpen game
37%Probability
2.67Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.23-1.30Expected goals
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Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Bristol Rovers34%2.94
  • Draw29%3.51
  • Chesterfield37%2.67

Double chance

  • Bristol Rovers or draw63%1.60
  • Bristol Rovers or Chesterfield71%1.40
  • Draw or Chesterfield66%1.51

Goals

  • Over 2.547%2.15
  • Under 2.553%1.87

Both teams to score

  • Yes51%1.95
  • No49%2.06

Match in numbers

This season, Bristol Rovers at home and Chesterfield away

Bristol Rovers (home)Chesterfield (away)
Matches77
Points per game1.861.00
Goals scored per game1.571.14
Goals conceded per game1.141.71
Shots on target per game6.34.7
Shots on target conceded3.14.1
Clean sheets57%14%
Over 2.5 goals43%71%
Both teams scored43%71%
  • Bristol Rovers have gone 6 league matches without a win.
  • Bristol Rovers: 17th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 11th in the league.
  • Chesterfield: 10th in the table; the model rates their attack 4th and their defence 7th in the league.

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 34% for Bristol Rovers, 29% for the draw and 37% for Chesterfield.

At home this season Bristol Rovers average 1.86 points and 1.6 goals per game, conceding 1.1. Away from home Chesterfield take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.7. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 6.3 per game for Bristol Rovers at home and 4.7 for Chesterfield on the road.

Current runs: Bristol Rovers have gone 6 league matches without a win.

Chesterfield sit 10th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 3rd in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

The model expects 1.23 goals from Bristol Rovers and 1.30 from Chesterfield; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 47% and both teams to score 51%.

Chesterfield won both of the last league meetings between the two.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 0-111%
  • 1-010%
  • 1-28%
  • 2-18%

Bristol Rovers form

LLLDL
  • Lat Fleetwood Town1-32026-10-31
  • Dvs Swindon Town0-02026-10-24
  • Lvs Salford City1-22026-10-20
  • Lat Shrewsbury Town0-12026-10-17
  • Lvs Barnet1-32026-10-10

Chesterfield form

DLDWL
  • Lat Newport County1-42026-10-30
  • Wvs Crewe Alexandra5-12026-10-24
  • Dvs Colchester United1-12026-10-20
  • Lat Port Vale0-12026-10-17
  • Dat Crawley Town2-22026-10-10

Head to head

  • 2026-02-07Bristol Rovers 2-3 Chesterfield
  • 2025-08-16Chesterfield 3-1 Bristol Rovers

More League Two predictions

All matches ›

Prediction last updated 2026-11-09 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.