Ligue 1 predictions
Model probabilities for every upcoming Ligue 1 match (France), updated hourly.
981 league matches, July 2023 - October 2026
Upcoming matches
No matches for this filter.
How to read Ligue 1 predictions
Home advantage in Ligue 1 is present but sits slightly below the global average. Our data shows home wins at 44%, ranking joint eighth across the 18 leagues we track. The average sits at 45%, so the edge is real but narrow. Away wins trail at 32%, which is joint second-highest in our dataset. Home wins still outnumber away wins, but the gap between home and away results is tighter here than in many other top-flight competitions.
Draws are less common than in most leagues. At 24%, the figure ranks seventeenth out of 18, just one point off the 25% average. This slight deviation suggests that while draws happen, they are not the dominant outcome. When looking at Ligue 1 betting tips, you should expect a clearer winner more often than the league-wide norm might suggest.
Goal expectancy is slightly above average. Matches average 2.85 goals, ranking joint sixth, with over 2.5 goals hitting in 54% of fixtures. Both teams to score also occurs in 54% of matches, level with the global average. These figures are consistent with the rest of our coverage. When you review Ligue 1 tips today or check Ligue 1 score predictions, keep in mind that high-scoring games are common, but the variance in results means home form still matters.
Over 2.5 goals: 54% of matches · both teams scored: 54%. Probabilities come from our model, see how it works. Not betting advice, 18+.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 | |
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +4 | 9 | |
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 9 | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 | |
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Current season, from the results in our data.