Exeter City vs Cheltenham Town prediction

Match preview

A slight lean towards Exeter City (56%), though Cheltenham Town win 17% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 27%.

At home this season Exeter City average 2.14 points and 1.1 goals per game, conceding 0.3. Away from home Cheltenham Town take 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.1. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.7 per game for Exeter City at home and 3.3 for Cheltenham Town on the road.

Exeter City sit 12th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 5th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Cheltenham Town are 5th in the table while the model ranks them only 23rd on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

The model expects 1.37 goals from Exeter City and 0.71 from Cheltenham Town; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 17%, over 2.5 goals 34% and both teams to score 38%.

In their last 5 league meetings Exeter City won 2 and Cheltenham Town won 3.

Most likely scores

• 1-017%
• 0-012%
• 1-112%
• 2-012%
• 0-19%

Exeter City form

• Lat Salford City1-22026-10-31
• Wvs Fleetwood Town2-12026-10-24
• Wvs Crewe Alexandra2-02026-10-20
• Dat Colchester United0-02026-10-17
• Wat Shrewsbury Town1-02026-10-10

Cheltenham Town form

• Lat Tranmere Rovers1-32026-10-31
• Wvs Newport County1-02026-10-24
• Wvs Fleetwood Town4-22026-10-20
• Lat Oldham Athletic1-42026-10-17
• Lvs Salford City0-22026-10-10