Salford City vs Northampton Town prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Salford City59%1.68
- Draw23%4.37
- Northampton Town18%5.64
Double chance
- Salford City or draw82%1.22
- Salford City or Northampton Town77%1.30
- Draw or Northampton Town41%2.46
Goals
- Over 2.531%3.26
- Under 2.569%1.44
Both teams to score
- Yes37%2.69
- No63%1.59
Match in numbers
This season, Salford City at home and Northampton Town away
| Salford City (home) | Northampton Town (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Points per game | 2.57 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.29 | 0.83 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.57 | 1.00 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.1 | 4.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 2.6 | 3.2 |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 50% |
- Salford City have won their last 8 league matches.
- Salford City: 1st in the table; the model rates their attack 5th and their defence 5th in the league.
- Northampton Town: 21st in the table; the model rates their attack 24th and their defence 2nd in the league.
- Our predictions for Northampton Town matches: 1 of 3 correct.
Match preview
Salford City have the edge at 59%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 23% and a win for Northampton Town at 18%.
At home this season Salford City average 2.57 points and 1.3 goals per game, conceding 0.6. Away from home Northampton Town take 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Salford City manage 4.1 per home game and Northampton Town 4.0 per away game.
Form lines: Salford City have won their last 8 league matches.
Northampton Town sit 21st in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 8th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
Expected goals from the model: Salford City 1.14, Northampton Town 0.80. The single most likely score is 1-0 (17%), and the chance of three or more goals is 31%.
In their last 5 league meetings Salford City won 2, Northampton Town won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-017%
- 0-014%
- 1-113%
- 0-112%
- 2-09%
Salford City form
- Wvs Exeter City2-12026-10-31
- Wat Walsall4-22026-10-26
- Wat Bristol Rovers2-12026-10-20
- Wvs Crawley Town2-12026-10-17
- Wat Cheltenham Town2-02026-10-10
Northampton Town form
- Lvs Oldham Athletic0-12026-11-03
- Dat Accrington Stanley1-12026-10-31
- Wvs Colchester United2-02026-10-24
- Lvs Tranmere Rovers0-12026-10-20
- Wat Grimsby Town2-02026-10-17
Head to head
- 2023-01-07Salford City 2-1 Northampton Town
- 2022-10-08Northampton Town 0-1 Salford City
- 2022-01-29Northampton Town 1-0 Salford City
- 2021-09-25Salford City 2-2 Northampton Town
- 2020-01-11Salford City 1-2 Northampton Town
More League Two predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-11-09 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.

