Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Salford City vs Northampton Town prediction

England · League Two · 14 November 2026

Salford City1st · 31 pts
Sat 14 Nov
Northampton Town21st · 14 pts
Salford CityDrawNorthampton Town
Our predictionSalford City to winLean
59%Probability
1.68Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.14-0.80Expected goals
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Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Salford City59%1.68
  • Draw23%4.37
  • Northampton Town18%5.64

Double chance

  • Salford City or draw82%1.22
  • Salford City or Northampton Town77%1.30
  • Draw or Northampton Town41%2.46

Goals

  • Over 2.531%3.26
  • Under 2.569%1.44

Both teams to score

  • Yes37%2.69
  • No63%1.59

Match in numbers

This season, Salford City at home and Northampton Town away

Salford City (home)Northampton Town (away)
Matches76
Points per game2.571.00
Goals scored per game1.290.83
Goals conceded per game0.571.00
Shots on target per game4.14.0
Shots on target conceded2.63.2
Clean sheets43%17%
Over 2.5 goals43%0%
Both teams scored43%50%
  • Salford City have won their last 8 league matches.
  • Salford City: 1st in the table; the model rates their attack 5th and their defence 5th in the league.
  • Northampton Town: 21st in the table; the model rates their attack 24th and their defence 2nd in the league.
  • Our predictions for Northampton Town matches: 1 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Salford City have the edge at 59%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 23% and a win for Northampton Town at 18%.

At home this season Salford City average 2.57 points and 1.3 goals per game, conceding 0.6. Away from home Northampton Town take 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Salford City manage 4.1 per home game and Northampton Town 4.0 per away game.

Form lines: Salford City have won their last 8 league matches.

Northampton Town sit 21st in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 8th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Expected goals from the model: Salford City 1.14, Northampton Town 0.80. The single most likely score is 1-0 (17%), and the chance of three or more goals is 31%.

In their last 5 league meetings Salford City won 2, Northampton Town won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-017%
  • 0-014%
  • 1-113%
  • 0-112%
  • 2-09%

Salford City form

WWWWW
  • Wvs Exeter City2-12026-10-31
  • Wat Walsall4-22026-10-26
  • Wat Bristol Rovers2-12026-10-20
  • Wvs Crawley Town2-12026-10-17
  • Wat Cheltenham Town2-02026-10-10

Northampton Town form

WLWDL
  • Lvs Oldham Athletic0-12026-11-03
  • Dat Accrington Stanley1-12026-10-31
  • Wvs Colchester United2-02026-10-24
  • Lvs Tranmere Rovers0-12026-10-20
  • Wat Grimsby Town2-02026-10-17

Head to head

  • 2023-01-07Salford City 2-1 Northampton Town
  • 2022-10-08Northampton Town 0-1 Salford City
  • 2022-01-29Northampton Town 1-0 Salford City
  • 2021-09-25Salford City 2-2 Northampton Town
  • 2020-01-11Salford City 1-2 Northampton Town

More League Two predictions

All matches ›

Prediction last updated 2026-11-09 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.