Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town prediction

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 33% for Swindon Town, 27% for the draw and 40% for Grimsby Town.

At home this season Swindon Town average 2.00 points and 1.7 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Grimsby Town take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.3 per game for Swindon Town at home and 4.7 for Grimsby Town on the road.

Grimsby Town sit 6th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 1st in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

The model expects 1.28 goals from Swindon Town and 1.55 from Grimsby Town; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%, over 2.5 goals 54% and both teams to score 57%.

In their last 5 league meetings Swindon Town won 2, Grimsby Town won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

• 1-111%
• 0-19%
• 1-29%
• 1-08%
• 2-18%

Swindon Town form

• Wvs Rotherham United2-12026-10-31
• Dat Bristol Rovers0-02026-10-24
• Wat Barnet3-12026-10-20
• Dvs Walsall1-12026-10-17
• Lvs Crewe Alexandra0-12026-10-10

Grimsby Town form

• Wvs York City5-22026-10-31
• Wat Gillingham4-12026-10-24
• Dat Rochdale2-22026-10-20
• Lvs Northampton Town0-22026-10-17
• Lat Port Vale0-12026-10-10