Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Shrewsbury Town vs Gillingham prediction

England · League Two · 31 October 2026

Shrewsbury Town11th · 18 pts
1 - 2Full time
Gillingham13th · 17 pts
Shrewsbury TownDrawGillingham
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Shrewsbury Town to win (46%)
Our predictionShrewsbury Town to winLean
46%Probability
2.16Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.43-1.06Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Shrewsbury Town46%2.16
  • Draw28%3.63
  • Gillingham26%3.82

Double chance

  • Shrewsbury Town or draw74%1.35
  • Shrewsbury Town or Gillingham72%1.38
  • Draw or Gillingham54%1.86

Goals

  • Over 2.545%2.20
  • Under 2.555%1.83

Both teams to score

  • Yes50%2.02
  • No50%1.98

Match in numbers

This season, Shrewsbury Town at home and Gillingham away

Shrewsbury Town (home)Gillingham (away)
Matches66
Points per game1.671.33
Goals scored per game1.171.67
Goals conceded per game1.001.50
Shots on target per game3.22.3
Shots on target conceded2.55.3
Clean sheets50%17%
Over 2.5 goals33%67%
Both teams scored33%67%
  • Shrewsbury Town: 11th in the table; the model rates their attack 17th and their defence 15th in the league.
  • Gillingham: 13th in the table; the model rates their attack 16th and their defence 17th in the league.

Match preview

A slight lean towards Shrewsbury Town (46%), though Gillingham win 26% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 28%.

At home this season Shrewsbury Town average 1.67 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Gillingham take 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 3.2 per game for Shrewsbury Town at home and 2.3 for Gillingham on the road.

Shrewsbury Town are 11th in the table while the model ranks them only 17th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Gillingham are 13th in the table while the model ranks them only 20th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

The model expects 1.43 goals from Shrewsbury Town and 1.06 from Gillingham; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 50%.

In their last 5 league meetings Shrewsbury Town won 1, Gillingham won 1 and 3 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-012%
  • 0-19%
  • 2-19%
  • 2-08%

Shrewsbury Town form

WLWWD
  • Dat Rotherham United3-32026-10-24
  • Wat Crawley Town3-22026-10-20
  • Wvs Bristol Rovers1-02026-10-17
  • Lvs Exeter City0-12026-10-10
  • Wat Grimsby Town2-12026-10-03

Gillingham form

DWLDL
  • Lvs Grimsby Town1-42026-10-24
  • Dvs Port Vale1-12026-10-20
  • Lat Accrington Stanley1-32026-10-17
  • Wat Rotherham United4-12026-10-10
  • Dvs Newport County0-02026-10-03

Head to head

  • 2026-05-02Gillingham 1-0 Shrewsbury Town
  • 2025-11-29Shrewsbury Town 3-3 Gillingham
  • 2022-01-25Gillingham 0-0 Shrewsbury Town
  • 2021-08-28Shrewsbury Town 2-1 Gillingham
  • 2021-04-10Gillingham 0-0 Shrewsbury Town

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Prediction made 2026-10-31 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.