Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Salford City vs Exeter City prediction

England · League Two · 31 October 2026

Salford City1st · 28 pts
2 - 1Full time
Exeter City8th · 19 pts
Salford CityDrawExeter City
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Salford City to win (50%)
Our predictionSalford City to winLean
50%Probability
1.99Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.13-0.81Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Salford City50%1.99
  • Draw28%3.60
  • Exeter City22%4.55

Double chance

  • Salford City or draw78%1.28
  • Salford City or Exeter City72%1.38
  • Draw or Exeter City50%2.01

Goals

  • Over 2.531%3.26
  • Under 2.569%1.44

Both teams to score

  • Yes37%2.68
  • No63%1.59

Match in numbers

This season, Salford City at home and Exeter City away

Salford City (home)Exeter City (away)
Matches66
Points per game2.500.67
Goals scored per game1.170.33
Goals conceded per game0.500.83
Shots on target per game4.31.8
Shots on target conceded2.54.2
Clean sheets50%33%
Over 2.5 goals33%17%
Both teams scored33%17%
  • Salford City have won their last 7 league matches.
  • Exeter City are unbeaten in 5 league matches.
  • Salford City: 1st in the table; the model rates their attack 5th and their defence 5th in the league.
  • Exeter City: 8th in the table; the model rates their attack 23rd and their defence 1st in the league.

Match preview

Salford City have the edge at 50%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 28% and a win for Exeter City at 22%.

At home this season Salford City average 2.50 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 0.5. Away from home Exeter City take 0.67 points per game, scoring 0.3 and conceding 0.8. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Salford City manage 4.3 per home game and Exeter City 1.8 per away game.

Form lines: Salford City have won their last 7 league matches; Exeter City are unbeaten in 5 league matches.

Expected goals from the model: Salford City 1.13, Exeter City 0.81. The single most likely score is 1-0 (17%), and the chance of three or more goals is 31%.

In their last 4 league meetings Exeter City won 2 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-017%
  • 0-014%
  • 1-113%
  • 0-112%
  • 2-09%

Salford City form

WWWWW
  • Wat Walsall4-22026-10-26
  • Wat Bristol Rovers2-12026-10-20
  • Wvs Crawley Town2-12026-10-17
  • Wat Cheltenham Town2-02026-10-10
  • Wvs Fleetwood Town1-02026-10-03

Exeter City form

WWDWW
  • Wvs Fleetwood Town2-12026-10-24
  • Wvs Crewe Alexandra2-02026-10-20
  • Dat Colchester United0-02026-10-17
  • Wat Shrewsbury Town1-02026-10-10
  • Wvs Rotherham United1-02026-10-03

Head to head

  • 2022-03-12Exeter City 0-0 Salford City
  • 2021-10-30Salford City 1-2 Exeter City
  • 2021-03-27Exeter City 1-0 Salford City
  • 2020-09-12Salford City 2-2 Exeter City

More League Two predictions

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Prediction made 2026-10-31 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.