Oldham Athletic vs Crawley Town prediction

Match preview

Oldham Athletic have the edge at 59%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 23% and a win for Crawley Town at 18%.

At home this season Oldham Athletic average 1.67 points and 1.8 goals per game, conceding 1.2. Away from home Crawley Town take 0.80 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Oldham Athletic manage 4.3 per home game and Crawley Town 3.4 per away game.

Form lines: Crawley Town have gone 9 league matches without a win.

Oldham Athletic sit 20th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 7th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Crawley Town sit 24th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 18th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Expected goals from the model: Oldham Athletic 1.78, Crawley Town 1.02. The single most likely score is 1-0 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 53%.

In their last 5 league meetings Oldham Athletic won 2 and 3 ended level.

Most likely scores

• 1-011%
• 1-111%
• 2-110%
• 2-010%
• 0-16%

Oldham Athletic form

• Dat Barnet1-12026-10-24
• Lat Walsall0-32026-10-20
• Wvs Cheltenham Town4-12026-10-17
• Dvs Accrington Stanley0-02026-10-10
• Lvs Salford City1-42026-09-26

Crawley Town form

• Dvs Tranmere Rovers1-12026-10-24
• Lvs Shrewsbury Town2-32026-10-20
• Lat Salford City1-22026-10-17
• Dvs Chesterfield2-22026-10-10
• Lat Grimsby Town0-22026-09-19