Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Northampton Town vs Oldham Athletic prediction

England · League Two · 03 November 2026

Northampton Town20th · 14 pts
0 - 1Full time
Oldham Athletic21st · 12 pts
Northampton TownDrawOldham Athletic
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Northampton Town to win (40%)
Our predictionNorthampton Town to winOpen game
40%Probability
2.49Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.05-0.82Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Northampton Town40%2.49
  • Draw32%3.17
  • Oldham Athletic28%3.53

Double chance

  • Northampton Town or draw72%1.40
  • Northampton Town or Oldham Athletic68%1.46
  • Draw or Oldham Athletic60%1.67

Goals

  • Over 2.529%3.47
  • Under 2.571%1.40

Both teams to score

  • Yes36%2.77
  • No64%1.57

Match in numbers

This season, Northampton Town at home and Oldham Athletic away

Northampton Town (home)Oldham Athletic (away)
Matches66
Points per game1.330.33
Goals scored per game0.670.50
Goals conceded per game0.501.83
Shots on target per game3.33.5
Shots on target conceded2.73.5
Clean sheets50%0%
Over 2.5 goals0%33%
Both teams scored17%50%
  • Northampton Town: 20th in the table; the model rates their attack 24th and their defence 2nd in the league.
  • Oldham Athletic: 21st in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 9th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Northampton Town matches: 1 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Oldham Athletic matches: 0 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 40% for Northampton Town, 32% for the draw and 28% for Oldham Athletic.

At home this season Northampton Town average 1.33 points and 0.7 goals per game, conceding 0.5. Away from home Oldham Athletic take 0.33 points per game, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.8. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 3.3 per game for Northampton Town at home and 3.5 for Oldham Athletic on the road.

Northampton Town sit 20th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 8th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Oldham Athletic sit 21st in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 7th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

The model expects 1.05 goals from Northampton Town and 0.82 from Oldham Athletic; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 16%, over 2.5 goals 29% and both teams to score 36%.

Northampton Town won both of the last league meetings between the two.

Most likely scores

  • 1-016%
  • 0-015%
  • 1-113%
  • 0-113%
  • 2-08%

Northampton Town form

DWLWD
  • Dat Accrington Stanley1-12026-10-31
  • Wvs Colchester United2-02026-10-24
  • Lvs Tranmere Rovers0-12026-10-20
  • Wat Grimsby Town2-02026-10-17
  • Dat York City1-12026-10-10

Oldham Athletic form

DWLDL
  • Lvs Crawley Town0-12026-10-31
  • Dat Barnet1-12026-10-24
  • Lat Walsall0-32026-10-20
  • Wvs Cheltenham Town4-12026-10-17
  • Dvs Accrington Stanley0-02026-10-10

Head to head

  • 2022-04-15Oldham Athletic 0-2 Northampton Town
  • 2021-11-23Northampton Town 2-1 Oldham Athletic

More League Two predictions

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Prediction made 2026-11-03 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.