Grimsby Town vs York City prediction

Match preview

A slight lean towards Grimsby Town (47%), though York City win 28% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 26%.

At home this season Grimsby Town average 1.67 points and 1.3 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home York City take 0.50 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 5.2 per game for Grimsby Town at home and 3.2 for York City on the road.

Current runs: York City have scored in 6 straight league matches.

Grimsby Town sit 12th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 1st in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

York City are 5th in the table while the model ranks them only 11th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

The model expects 1.78 goals from Grimsby Town and 1.22 from York City; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%, over 2.5 goals 58% and both teams to score 58%.

Most likely scores

• 1-111%
• 2-110%
• 1-09%
• 2-08%
• 1-27%

Grimsby Town form

• Wat Gillingham4-12026-10-24
• Dat Rochdale2-22026-10-20
• Lvs Northampton Town0-22026-10-17
• Lat Port Vale0-12026-10-10
• Lvs Shrewsbury Town1-22026-10-03

York City form

• Lat Barnet1-32026-10-27
• Wvs Port Vale2-02026-10-24
• Dvs Accrington Stanley1-12026-10-20
• Dat Newport County1-12026-10-17
• Dvs Northampton Town1-12026-10-10