Fleetwood Town vs Tranmere Rovers prediction

Match preview

Fleetwood Town have the edge at 54%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Tranmere Rovers at 21%.

At home this season Fleetwood Town average 1.71 points and 1.4 goals per game, conceding 0.7. Away from home Tranmere Rovers take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.4. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Fleetwood Town manage 4.4 per home game and Tranmere Rovers 2.9 per away game.

Form lines: Tranmere Rovers have scored in 7 straight league matches.

Fleetwood Town sit 16th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 6th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Tranmere Rovers are 11th in the table while the model ranks them only 19th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Expected goals from the model: Fleetwood Town 1.62, Tranmere Rovers 1.00. The single most likely score is 1-0 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 49%.

In their last 4 league meetings Tranmere Rovers won 1 and 3 ended level.

Most likely scores

• 1-012%
• 1-112%
• 2-010%
• 2-110%
• 0-18%

Fleetwood Town form

• Wvs Bristol Rovers3-12026-10-31
• Lat Exeter City1-22026-10-24
• Lat Cheltenham Town2-42026-10-20
• Wvs Rotherham United2-02026-10-17
• Dvs Walsall1-12026-10-10

Tranmere Rovers form

• Wvs Cheltenham Town3-12026-10-31
• Dat Crawley Town1-12026-10-24
• Wat Northampton Town1-02026-10-20
• Lvs Barnet1-22026-10-17
• Dvs Rochdale1-12026-10-10