Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers prediction

England · League Two · 31 October 2026

Fleetwood Town18th · 14 pts
3 - 1Full time
Bristol Rovers16th · 16 pts
Fleetwood TownDrawBristol Rovers
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Fleetwood Town to win (43%)
Our predictionFleetwood Town to winOpen game
43%Probability
2.30Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.32-1.01Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Fleetwood Town43%2.30
  • Draw29%3.45
  • Bristol Rovers28%3.63

Double chance

  • Fleetwood Town or draw72%1.38
  • Fleetwood Town or Bristol Rovers71%1.41
  • Draw or Bristol Rovers57%1.77

Goals

  • Over 2.541%2.44
  • Under 2.559%1.69

Both teams to score

  • Yes46%2.17
  • No54%1.86

Match in numbers

This season, Fleetwood Town at home and Bristol Rovers away

Fleetwood Town (home)Bristol Rovers (away)
Matches66
Points per game1.500.50
Goals scored per game1.170.83
Goals conceded per game0.672.00
Shots on target per game3.82.7
Shots on target conceded2.53.7
Clean sheets50%17%
Over 2.5 goals17%50%
Both teams scored50%33%
  • Bristol Rovers have gone 5 league matches without a win.
  • Fleetwood Town: 18th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 6th in the league.
  • Bristol Rovers: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 11th in the league.

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 43% for Fleetwood Town, 29% for the draw and 28% for Bristol Rovers.

At home this season Fleetwood Town average 1.50 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 0.7. Away from home Bristol Rovers take 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.0. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 3.8 per game for Fleetwood Town at home and 2.7 for Bristol Rovers on the road.

Current runs: Bristol Rovers have gone 5 league matches without a win.

Fleetwood Town sit 18th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 6th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

The model expects 1.32 goals from Fleetwood Town and 1.01 from Bristol Rovers; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13%, over 2.5 goals 41% and both teams to score 46%.

In their last 5 league meetings Fleetwood Town won 2, Bristol Rovers won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-013%
  • 1-113%
  • 0-110%
  • 0-010%
  • 2-19%

Fleetwood Town form

LDWLL
  • Lat Exeter City1-22026-10-24
  • Lat Cheltenham Town2-42026-10-20
  • Wvs Rotherham United2-02026-10-17
  • Dvs Walsall1-12026-10-10
  • Lat Salford City0-12026-10-03

Bristol Rovers form

LLLLD
  • Dvs Swindon Town0-02026-10-24
  • Lvs Salford City1-22026-10-20
  • Lat Shrewsbury Town0-12026-10-17
  • Lvs Barnet1-32026-10-10
  • Lat Crewe Alexandra1-32026-10-03

Head to head

  • 2026-04-03Bristol Rovers 1-0 Fleetwood Town
  • 2025-08-09Fleetwood Town 2-1 Bristol Rovers
  • 2024-03-12Fleetwood Town 0-0 Bristol Rovers
  • 2024-02-06Bristol Rovers 0-2 Fleetwood Town
  • 2023-04-10Fleetwood Town 1-2 Bristol Rovers

More League Two predictions

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Prediction made 2026-10-31 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.