Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet prediction

England · League Two · 31 October 2026

Crewe Alexandra4th · 21 pts
1 - 1Full time
Barnet2nd · 25 pts
Crewe AlexandraDrawBarnet
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Barnet to win (44%)
Our predictionBarnet to winOpen game
44%Probability
2.28Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.23-1.51Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Crewe Alexandra29%3.43
  • Draw27%3.71
  • Barnet44%2.28

Double chance

  • Crewe Alexandra or draw56%1.78
  • Crewe Alexandra or Barnet73%1.37
  • Draw or Barnet71%1.41

Goals

  • Over 2.552%1.94
  • Under 2.548%2.07

Both teams to score

  • Yes55%1.82
  • No45%2.22

Match in numbers

This season, Crewe Alexandra at home and Barnet away

Crewe Alexandra (home)Barnet (away)
Matches65
Points per game2.002.20
Goals scored per game1.832.40
Goals conceded per game1.171.40
Shots on target per game4.33.8
Shots on target conceded4.84.2
Clean sheets17%0%
Over 2.5 goals50%80%
Both teams scored83%100%
  • Barnet have scored in 22 straight league matches.
  • Crewe Alexandra: 4th in the table; the model rates their attack 19th and their defence 13th in the league.
  • Barnet: 2nd in the table; the model rates their attack 1st and their defence 8th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Barnet matches: 1 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 29% for Crewe Alexandra, 27% for the draw and 44% for Barnet.

At home this season Crewe Alexandra average 2.00 points and 1.8 goals per game, conceding 1.2. Away from home Barnet take 2.20 points per game, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.4. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.3 per game for Crewe Alexandra at home and 3.8 for Barnet on the road.

Current runs: Barnet have scored in 22 straight league matches.

Crewe Alexandra are 4th in the table while the model ranks them only 16th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

The model expects 1.23 goals from Crewe Alexandra and 1.51 from Barnet; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 52% and both teams to score 55%.

In their last 2 league meetings Barnet won 1 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 0-110%
  • 1-29%
  • 1-08%
  • 0-27%

Crewe Alexandra form

WWWLL
  • Lat Chesterfield1-52026-10-24
  • Lat Exeter City0-22026-10-20
  • Wvs Rochdale3-22026-10-17
  • Wat Swindon Town1-02026-10-10
  • Wvs Bristol Rovers3-12026-10-03

Barnet form

WWLDW
  • Wvs York City3-12026-10-27
  • Dvs Oldham Athletic1-12026-10-24
  • Lvs Swindon Town1-32026-10-20
  • Wat Tranmere Rovers2-12026-10-17
  • Wat Bristol Rovers3-12026-10-10

Head to head

  • 2026-02-03Barnet 1-1 Crewe Alexandra
  • 2025-09-13Crewe Alexandra 1-2 Barnet

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Prediction made 2026-10-31 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.