Colchester United vs Walsall prediction

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Colchester United 42%, draw 28%, Walsall 30%.

At home this season Colchester United average 1.80 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 0.6. Away from home Walsall take 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Colchester United manage 3.6 per home game and Walsall 3.8 per away game.

Form lines: Colchester United have gone 9 league matches without a win; Walsall have scored in 6 straight league matches.

Colchester United sit 21st in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 14th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Walsall are 6th in the table while the model ranks them only 12th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Expected goals from the model: Colchester United 1.40, Walsall 1.14. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 47%.

In their last 5 league meetings Colchester United won 2, Walsall won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

• 1-112%
• 1-011%
• 0-19%
• 2-19%
• 2-08%

Colchester United form

• Lat Northampton Town0-22026-10-24
• Dat Chesterfield1-12026-10-20
• Dvs Exeter City0-02026-10-17
• Lat Newport County0-12026-10-10
• Dat Shrewsbury Town2-22026-09-26

Walsall form

• Lvs Salford City2-42026-10-26
• Wvs Oldham Athletic3-02026-10-20
• Dat Swindon Town1-12026-10-17
• Dat Fleetwood Town1-12026-10-10
• Dat Tranmere Rovers1-12026-09-26