Accrington Stanley vs Northampton Town prediction

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Accrington Stanley 45%, draw 29%, Northampton Town 26%.

At home this season Accrington Stanley average 2.00 points and 2.0 goals per game, conceding 1.2. Away from home Northampton Town take 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Accrington Stanley manage 6.2 per home game and Northampton Town 4.2 per away game.

Form lines: Accrington Stanley are unbeaten in 7 league matches.

Northampton Town sit 19th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 8th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Expected goals from the model: Accrington Stanley 1.00, Northampton Town 0.86. The single most likely score is 1-0 (16%), and the chance of three or more goals is 29%.

In their last 2 league meetings Accrington Stanley won 1 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

• 1-016%
• 0-015%
• 0-114%
• 1-113%
• 2-08%

Accrington Stanley form

• Wat Rochdale5-02026-10-24
• Dat York City1-12026-10-20
• Wvs Gillingham3-12026-10-17
• Dat Oldham Athletic0-02026-10-10
• Wvs Cheltenham Town2-02026-10-03

Northampton Town form

• Wvs Colchester United2-02026-10-24
• Lvs Tranmere Rovers0-12026-10-20
• Wat Grimsby Town2-02026-10-17
• Dat York City1-12026-10-10
• Lvs Rotherham United0-12026-09-19