Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Toronto predictions

Model probabilities for the next Toronto match, every past prediction checked against the result, and their season in numbers.

16thin the MLS table
25points from 20 matches
6-7-7won, drawn, lost
30-38goals for and against

No scheduled matches in the next eight days.

Past Toronto predictions

Full history ›

Stored before kick-off and never changed. A percentage appears here from 10 matches; so far there are 4.

Toronto in the backtest

July 2023 to October 2026

We ran the current model over Toronto league matches, predicting each one only from the matches played before it.

48.2%right result in 54 of 112 Toronto matches
6 of 22Toronto wins when the model favoured them
20 of 90Toronto wins when the model favoured the opponent
Season (July to June)MatchesRight result
2026-27166 of 16 (38%)
2025-262910 of 29 (34%)
2024-253216 of 32 (50%)
2023-243522 of 35 (63%)

Calculated after the fact, so this is not part of the live record. A high figure can simply mean this team's results are easier to predict. Across all 21,272 matches the model named the right result 50.9% of the time; see accuracy.

Toronto this season

League matches in our data

AllHomeAway
Matches20812
Points per game1.252.000.75
Goals scored per game1.502.380.92
Goals conceded per game1.901.881.92
Shots on target per game4.25.13.5
Shots on target conceded6.05.46.3
Clean sheets15%0%25%
Over 2.5 goals70%88%58%
Both teams scored75%100%58%
  • Toronto have scored in 7 straight league matches.
  • The model rates their attack 23rd and their defence 26th in the league.

Toronto form

WLWLL
  • Lat Philadelphia Union1-42026-11-07
  • Lat Atlanta United1-32026-11-01
  • Wvs DC United2-12026-10-28
  • Lat Columbus Crew2-42026-10-24
  • Wat New York RB2-02026-10-17

Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Not betting advice, 18+. See how it works and the track record.