Atlanta United vs Toronto prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Atlanta United42%2.36
- Draw28%3.63
- Toronto30%3.32
Double chance
- Atlanta United or draw70%1.43
- Atlanta United or Toronto72%1.38
- Draw or Toronto58%1.73
Goals
- Over 2.551%1.98
- Under 2.549%2.02
Both teams to score
- Yes54%1.87
- No46%2.16
Match in numbers
This season, Atlanta United at home and Toronto away
| Atlanta United (home) | Toronto (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.88 | 0.90 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.50 | 0.90 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.25 | 1.60 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.6 | 3.7 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.0 | 5.9 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 88% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 88% | 50% |
- Atlanta United have lost their last 3 league matches.
- Atlanta United: 24th in the table; the model rates their attack 26th and their defence 10th in the league.
- Toronto: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 23rd and their defence 26th in the league.
- Our predictions for Atlanta United matches: 4 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Toronto matches: 4 of 4 correct.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Atlanta United 42%, draw 28%, Toronto 30%.
At home this season Atlanta United average 0.88 points and 1.5 goals per game, conceding 2.2. Away from home Toronto take 0.90 points per game, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.6. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Atlanta United manage 3.6 per home game and Toronto 3.7 per away game.
Form lines: Atlanta United have lost their last 3 league matches.
Toronto are 16th in the table while the model ranks them only 26th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
Expected goals from the model: Atlanta United 1.54, Toronto 1.16. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 51%.
In their last 5 league meetings Atlanta United won 2, Toronto won 1 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 1-011%
- 2-19%
- 0-18%
- 2-08%
Atlanta United form
- Lat New York City1-22026-10-28
- Lvs Chicago Fire2-32026-10-24
- Lvs Inter Miami1-32026-10-17
- Wat Montréal3-02026-10-14
- Lvs Cincinnati1-32026-10-10
Toronto form
- Wvs DC United2-12026-10-28
- Lat Columbus Crew2-42026-10-24
- Wat New York RB2-02026-10-17
- Dvs Orlando City3-32026-10-14
- Wvs Montréal2-12026-10-10
Head to head
- 2026-04-25Toronto 1-2 Atlanta United
- 2025-08-24Atlanta United 0-0 Toronto
- 2025-07-13Toronto 1-1 Atlanta United
- 2024-06-30Atlanta United 2-1 Toronto
- 2024-03-23Toronto 2-0 Atlanta United
Prediction made 2026-11-01 21:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.