Columbus Crew vs Toronto prediction

USA · MLS · 24 October 2026

Columbus Crew17th · 19 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Toronto13th · 22 pts
Columbus CrewDrawToronto
Our predictionColumbus Crew to winLean
53%Probability
1.89Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.85-1.13Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Columbus Crew53%1.89
  • Draw24%4.09
  • Toronto23%4.44

Double chance

  • Columbus Crew or draw77%1.29
  • Columbus Crew or Toronto76%1.32
  • Draw or Toronto47%2.13

Goals

  • Over 2.557%1.74
  • Under 2.543%2.35

Both teams to score

  • Yes57%1.75
  • No43%2.33

Match preview

Columbus Crew have the edge at 53%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for Toronto at 23%.

Expected goals from the model: Columbus Crew 1.85, Toronto 1.13. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 57%.

Columbus Crew have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWLWW).

Toronto have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WDWLL).

In the table Columbus Crew are 17th with 19 points and Toronto 13th with 22.

In their last 5 league meetings Columbus Crew won 2, Toronto won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 2-110%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-09%
  • 3-16%

Columbus Crew form

WWLWW
  • Wat Cincinnati2-02026-10-18
  • Wvs Charlotte3-12026-10-14
  • Lat Orlando City2-32026-10-10
  • Wvs Inter Miami2-12026-09-27
  • Wat Montréal2-02026-09-19

Toronto form

LLWDW
  • Wat New York RB2-02026-10-17
  • Dvs Orlando City3-32026-10-14
  • Wvs Montréal2-12026-10-10
  • Lat Nashville SC0-22026-09-27
  • Lat St. Louis City1-32026-09-20

Head to head

  • 2026-03-21Toronto 2-1 Columbus Crew
  • 2025-09-20Columbus Crew 1-1 Toronto
  • 2025-08-16Toronto 1-1 Columbus Crew
  • 2024-09-19Toronto 0-2 Columbus Crew
  • 2024-07-07Columbus Crew 4-0 Toronto

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.