Montréal vs Nashville SC prediction

USA · MLS · 24 October 2026

Montréal28th · 11 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Nashville SC3rd · 34 pts
MontréalDrawNashville SC
Our predictionNashville SC to winLean
58%Probability
1.72Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.09-1.60Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Montréal20%5.05
  • Draw22%4.54
  • Nashville SC58%1.72

Double chance

  • Montréal or draw42%2.39
  • Montréal or Nashville SC78%1.28
  • Draw or Nashville SC80%1.25

Goals

  • Over 2.551%1.98
  • Under 2.549%2.02

Both teams to score

  • Yes53%1.89
  • No47%2.12

Match preview

Nashville SC have the edge at 58%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 22% and a win for Montréal at 20%.

Expected goals from the model: Montréal 1.09, Nashville SC 1.60. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 51%.

Montréal have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (DLLWL).

Nashville SC have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (DWWWW).

In the table Montréal are 28th with 11 points and Nashville SC 3rd with 34.

In their last 5 league meetings Montréal won 0, Nashville SC won 3 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 0-111%
  • 1-29%
  • 0-29%
  • 1-08%

Montréal form

LWLLD
  • Dat Seattle Sounders1-12026-10-18
  • Lvs Atlanta United0-32026-10-14
  • Lat Toronto1-22026-10-10
  • Wvs Cincinnati3-12026-09-26
  • Lvs Columbus Crew0-22026-09-19

Nashville SC form

WWWWD
  • Dat SJ Earthquakes1-12026-10-18
  • Wvs Sporting KC4-02026-10-15
  • Wat Austin4-12026-10-11
  • Wvs Toronto2-02026-09-27
  • Wvs Chicago Fire3-02026-09-20

Head to head

  • 2026-07-23Nashville SC 1-0 Montréal
  • 2025-10-04Montréal 1-1 Nashville SC
  • 2025-03-23Nashville SC 3-0 Montréal
  • 2024-05-26Montréal 0-0 Nashville SC
  • 2024-05-05Nashville SC 4-1 Montréal

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.