Philadelphia Union vs New England prediction
Philadelphia Union1st · 39 pts
New England5th · 27 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Philadelphia Union62%1.62
- Draw21%4.75
- New England17%5.78
Double chance
- Philadelphia Union or draw83%1.21
- Philadelphia Union or New England79%1.27
- Draw or New England38%2.61
Goals
- Over 2.560%1.65
- Under 2.540%2.53
Both teams to score
- Yes57%1.75
- No43%2.34
Match preview
The model makes Philadelphia Union clear favourites, with a 62% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 21% and a win for New England at 17%.
Expected goals from the model: Philadelphia Union 2.05, New England 1.08. The single most likely score is 2-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 60%.
Philadelphia Union have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (DWWWW).
New England have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WWLLW).
In the table Philadelphia Union are 1st with 39 points and New England 5th with 27.
In their last 5 league meetings Philadelphia Union won 4, New England won 1 and 0 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 2-110%
- 1-19%
- 2-09%
- 1-09%
- 3-17%
Philadelphia Union form
- Dvs Charlotte2-22026-10-17
- Wat Chicago Fire3-12026-10-15
- Wvs Real Salt Lake2-12026-10-10
- Wvs Orlando City4-22026-09-26
- Wat Sporting KC4-32026-09-20
New England form
- Wvs Chicago Fire1-02026-10-17
- Wat Cincinnati3-22026-10-14
- Lvs Seattle Sounders0-32026-10-10
- Lat Real Salt Lake0-32026-09-27
- Wvs Orlando City4-22026-09-19
Head to head
- 2026-05-09New England 2-1 Philadelphia Union
- 2025-09-20Philadelphia Union 1-0 New England
- 2025-03-09New England 0-2 Philadelphia Union
- 2024-07-18Philadelphia Union 5-1 New England
- 2024-05-19New England 0-3 Philadelphia Union
More MLS predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.