Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire prediction

USA · MLS · 24 October 2026

Atlanta United18th · 19 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Chicago Fire14th · 22 pts
Atlanta UnitedDrawChicago Fire
Our predictionChicago Fire to winOpen game
41%Probability
2.45Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.32-1.41Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Atlanta United32%3.11
  • Draw27%3.69
  • Chicago Fire41%2.45

Double chance

  • Atlanta United or draw59%1.69
  • Atlanta United or Chicago Fire73%1.37
  • Draw or Chicago Fire68%1.47

Goals

  • Over 2.551%1.94
  • Under 2.549%2.06

Both teams to score

  • Yes55%1.81
  • No45%2.23

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Atlanta United 32%, draw 27%, Chicago Fire 41%.

Expected goals from the model: Atlanta United 1.32, Chicago Fire 1.41. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 51%.

Atlanta United have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LWLDW).

Chicago Fire have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LLWWW).

In the table Atlanta United are 18th with 19 points and Chicago Fire 14th with 22.

In their last 5 league meetings Atlanta United won 1, Chicago Fire won 2 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 0-19%
  • 1-09%
  • 1-29%
  • 2-18%

Atlanta United form

WDLWL
  • Lvs Inter Miami1-32026-10-17
  • Wat Montréal3-02026-10-14
  • Lvs Cincinnati1-32026-10-10
  • Dvs New York City2-22026-09-26
  • Wat Portland Timbers1-02026-09-20

Chicago Fire form

WWWLL
  • Lat New England0-12026-10-17
  • Lvs Philadelphia Union1-32026-10-15
  • Wvs New York City2-12026-10-10
  • Wvs Vancouver Whitecaps3-12026-10-07
  • Wat Charlotte1-02026-09-26

Head to head

  • 2026-04-12Chicago Fire 1-0 Atlanta United
  • 2025-07-17Atlanta United 2-2 Chicago Fire
  • 2025-05-10Chicago Fire 2-1 Atlanta United
  • 2024-04-28Chicago Fire 0-0 Atlanta United
  • 2024-03-31Atlanta United 3-0 Chicago Fire

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.