DC United vs Cincinnati prediction

USA · MLS · 24 October 2026

DC United25th · 15 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Cincinnati19th · 19 pts
DC UnitedDrawCincinnati
Our predictionCincinnati to winOpen game
42%Probability
2.38Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.64-1.83Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • DC United34%2.94
  • Draw24%4.17
  • Cincinnati42%2.38

Double chance

  • DC United or draw58%1.72
  • DC United or Cincinnati76%1.32
  • Draw or Cincinnati66%1.52

Goals

  • Over 2.567%1.48
  • Under 2.533%3.06

Both teams to score

  • Yes68%1.48
  • No32%3.08

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. DC United 34%, draw 24%, Cincinnati 42%.

Expected goals from the model: DC United 1.64, Cincinnati 1.83. The single most likely score is 1-1 (9%), and the chance of three or more goals is 67%.

DC United have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLWLD).

Cincinnati have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (WLLWL).

In the table DC United are 25th with 15 points and Cincinnati 19th with 19.

In their last 5 league meetings DC United won 1, Cincinnati won 3 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-19%
  • 1-29%
  • 2-18%
  • 2-27%
  • 0-16%

DC United form

DLWLL
  • Lat Cincinnati1-22026-10-21
  • Lat Orlando City1-42026-10-17
  • Wvs New York RB2-12026-10-14
  • Lat Inter Miami0-42026-10-10
  • Dat Vancouver Whitecaps3-32026-09-27

Cincinnati form

LWLLW
  • Wvs DC United2-12026-10-21
  • Lvs Columbus Crew0-22026-10-18
  • Lvs New England2-32026-10-14
  • Wat Atlanta United3-12026-10-10
  • Lat Montréal1-32026-09-26

Head to head

  • 2026-10-21Cincinnati 2-1 DC United
  • 2025-06-01Cincinnati 1-2 DC United
  • 2025-04-13DC United 0-1 Cincinnati
  • 2024-07-04DC United 2-3 Cincinnati
  • 2024-03-10Cincinnati 0-0 DC United

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.