Orlando City vs New York City prediction
Orlando City4th · 27 pts
New York City24th · 15 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Orlando City46%2.16
- Draw23%4.30
- New York City30%3.28
Double chance
- Orlando City or draw70%1.44
- Orlando City or New York City77%1.30
- Draw or New York City54%1.86
Goals
- Over 2.566%1.52
- Under 2.534%2.92
Both teams to score
- Yes66%1.51
- No34%2.96
Match preview
Orlando City have the edge at 46%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 23% and a win for New York City at 30%.
Expected goals from the model: Orlando City 1.80, New York City 1.59. The single most likely score is 1-1 (9%), and the chance of three or more goals is 66%.
Orlando City have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WDWLL).
New York City have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (DLLDL).
In the table Orlando City are 4th with 27 points and New York City 24th with 15.
In their last 5 league meetings Orlando City won 0, New York City won 4 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-19%
- 2-19%
- 1-28%
- 2-27%
- 1-06%
Orlando City form
- Wvs DC United4-12026-10-17
- Dat Toronto3-32026-10-14
- Wvs Columbus Crew3-22026-10-10
- Lat Philadelphia Union2-42026-09-26
- Lat New England2-42026-09-19
New York City form
- Dvs Los Angeles1-12026-10-17
- Lat Inter Miami0-22026-10-14
- Lat Chicago Fire1-22026-10-10
- Dat Atlanta United2-22026-09-26
- Lvs New York RB0-12026-09-18
Head to head
- 2026-03-07New York City 5-0 Orlando City
- 2025-07-17Orlando City 1-2 New York City
- 2025-03-09New York City 2-1 Orlando City
- 2024-07-21Orlando City 1-1 New York City
- 2024-06-29New York City 4-2 Orlando City
More MLS predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.