New York RB vs Inter Miami prediction

USA · MLS · 24 October 2026

New York RB26th · 14 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Inter Miami9th · 24 pts
New York RBDrawInter Miami
Our predictionInter Miami to winLean
52%Probability
1.92Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.54-1.93Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • New York RB26%3.79
  • Draw22%4.64
  • Inter Miami52%1.92

Double chance

  • New York RB or draw48%2.09
  • New York RB or Inter Miami78%1.27
  • Draw or Inter Miami74%1.36

Goals

  • Over 2.567%1.49
  • Under 2.533%3.05

Both teams to score

  • Yes67%1.49
  • No33%3.02

Match preview

Inter Miami have the edge at 52%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 22% and a win for New York RB at 26%.

Expected goals from the model: New York RB 1.54, Inter Miami 1.93. The single most likely score is 1-1 (9%), and the chance of three or more goals is 67%.

New York RB have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLWLW).

Inter Miami have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWWLD).

In the table New York RB are 26th with 14 points and Inter Miami 9th with 24.

In their last 5 league meetings New York RB won 1, Inter Miami won 3 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-19%
  • 1-29%
  • 2-17%
  • 2-27%
  • 0-16%

New York RB form

WLWLL
  • Lvs Toronto0-22026-10-17
  • Lat DC United1-22026-10-14
  • Wvs San Diego4-12026-10-10
  • Lvs St. Louis City0-32026-09-30
  • Wat New York City1-02026-09-18

Inter Miami form

DLWWW
  • Wat Atlanta United3-12026-10-17
  • Wvs New York City2-02026-10-14
  • Wvs DC United4-02026-10-10
  • Lat Columbus Crew1-22026-09-27
  • Dvs San Diego2-22026-09-20

Head to head

  • 2026-04-11Inter Miami 2-2 New York RB
  • 2025-07-20New York RB 1-5 Inter Miami
  • 2025-05-04Inter Miami 4-1 New York RB
  • 2024-05-05Inter Miami 6-2 New York RB
  • 2024-03-23New York RB 4-0 Inter Miami

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.