Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Reading predictions

Model probabilities for the next Reading match, every past prediction checked against the result, and their season in numbers.

6thin the League One table
22points from 14 matches
6-4-4won, drawn, lost
25-15goals for and against

Past Reading predictions

Full history ›

Stored before kick-off and never changed. A percentage appears here from 10 matches; so far there are 3.

Reading in the backtest

July 2023 to October 2026

We ran the current model over Reading league matches, predicting each one only from the matches played before it.

51.0%right result in 75 of 147 Reading matches
40 of 75Reading wins when the model favoured them
18 of 72Reading wins when the model favoured the opponent
Season (July to June)MatchesRight result
2026-27117 of 11 (64%)
2025-264624 of 46 (52%)
2024-254522 of 45 (49%)
2023-244522 of 45 (49%)

Calculated after the fact, so this is not part of the live record. A high figure can simply mean this team's results are easier to predict. Across all 21,272 matches the model named the right result 50.9% of the time; see accuracy.

Reading this season

League matches in our data

AllHomeAway
Matches1477
Points per game1.572.290.86
Goals scored per game1.792.431.14
Goals conceded per game1.071.001.14
Shots on target per game4.95.04.7
Shots on target conceded4.13.94.3
Clean sheets36%43%29%
Over 2.5 goals50%57%43%
Both teams scored50%57%43%
  • The model rates their attack 9th and their defence 14th in the league.

Reading form

LWWDL
  • Lat Oxford United0-22026-11-04
  • Dat Plymouth Argyle0-02026-10-31
  • Wvs Barnsley2-12026-10-24
  • Wvs Leyton Orient1-02026-10-21
  • Lat Wigan Athletic0-12026-10-17

Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Not betting advice, 18+. See how it works and the track record.