Reading vs Barnsley prediction

England · League One · 24 October 2026

Reading6th · 18 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Barnsley22nd · 8 pts
ReadingDrawBarnsley
Our predictionReading to winLean
57%Probability
1.77Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.78-1.23Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Reading57%1.77
  • Draw22%4.57
  • Barnsley21%4.65

Double chance

  • Reading or draw79%1.27
  • Reading or Barnsley78%1.28
  • Draw or Barnsley43%2.31

Goals

  • Over 2.558%1.72
  • Under 2.542%2.38

Both teams to score

  • Yes59%1.70
  • No41%2.42

Match preview

Reading have the edge at 57%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 22% and a win for Barnsley at 21%.

Expected goals from the model: Reading 1.78, Barnsley 1.23. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 58%.

Reading have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLWDD).

Barnsley have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LLLDL).

In the table Reading are 6th with 18 points and Barnsley 22nd with 8.

In their last 5 league meetings Reading won 0, Barnsley won 2 and 3 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 2-110%
  • 1-09%
  • 2-08%
  • 1-27%

Reading form

DDWLW
  • Wvs Leyton Orient1-02026-10-21
  • Lat Wigan Athletic0-12026-10-17
  • Wat Milton Keynes Dons5-12026-10-10
  • Dvs Bradford City1-12026-10-03
  • Dat Wycombe Wanderers2-22026-09-26

Barnsley form

LDLLL
  • Lat Luton Town1-22026-10-20
  • Lvs Cambridge United1-22026-10-17
  • Lat Stockport County1-32026-10-10
  • Dvs Leicester City1-12026-09-19
  • Lat Plymouth Argyle0-32026-09-12

Head to head

  • 2026-01-24Reading 2-2 Barnsley
  • 2025-09-13Barnsley 3-2 Reading
  • 2025-05-03Reading 2-4 Barnsley
  • 2024-11-26Barnsley 2-2 Reading
  • 2024-04-13Barnsley 2-2 Reading

More League One predictions

All matches ›

Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.