Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons prediction
Stevenage9th · 15 ptsSat 24 Oct
Milton Keynes Dons20th · 9 ptsStevenageDrawMilton Keynes Dons
Our predictionStevenage to winLean
60%Probability
1.67Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.59-0.68Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Stevenage60%1.67
- Draw25%3.93
- Milton Keynes Dons15%6.84
Double chance
- Stevenage or draw85%1.17
- Stevenage or Milton Keynes Dons75%1.34
- Draw or Milton Keynes Dons40%2.50
Goals
- Over 2.540%2.53
- Under 2.560%1.66
Both teams to score
- Yes39%2.56
- No61%1.64
Match preview
Stevenage have the edge at 60%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Milton Keynes Dons at 15%.
Expected goals from the model: Stevenage 1.59, Milton Keynes Dons 0.68. The single most likely score is 1-0 (17%), and the chance of three or more goals is 40%.
Stevenage have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WLWLW).
Milton Keynes Dons have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LWLDD).
In the table Stevenage are 9th with 15 points and Milton Keynes Dons 20th with 9.
Most likely scores
- 1-017%
- 2-013%
- 1-111%
- 0-010%
- 2-19%
Stevenage form
WLWLW
- Wvs Plymouth Argyle3-02026-10-20
- Lat Bradford City0-22026-10-17
- Wvs Wigan Athletic1-02026-10-10
- Lat Leyton Orient0-12026-09-19
- Wvs Luton Town2-12026-09-10
Milton Keynes Dons form
DDLWL
- Lat Blackpool0-22026-10-20
- Wvs Luton Town2-12026-10-17
- Lvs Reading1-52026-10-10
- Dat AFC Wimbledon0-02026-09-17
- Dvs Peterborough United1-12026-09-12
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.