Luton Town vs Leicester City prediction
Luton Town13th · 14 ptsSat 24 Oct
Leicester City10th · 15 ptsLuton TownDrawLeicester City
Our predictionLuton Town to winLean
51%Probability
1.98Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.75-1.42Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Luton Town51%1.98
- Draw23%4.36
- Leicester City26%3.78
Double chance
- Luton Town or draw74%1.36
- Luton Town or Leicester City77%1.30
- Draw or Leicester City49%2.02
Goals
- Over 2.561%1.63
- Under 2.539%2.59
Both teams to score
- Yes62%1.60
- No38%2.66
Match preview
Luton Town have the edge at 51%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 23% and a win for Leicester City at 26%.
Expected goals from the model: Luton Town 1.75, Leicester City 1.42. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 61%.
Luton Town have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (WLWLL).
Leicester City have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWLDW).
In the table Luton Town are 13th with 14 points and Leicester City 10th with 15.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 2-19%
- 1-08%
- 1-27%
- 2-26%
Luton Town form
LLWLW
- Wvs Barnsley2-12026-10-20
- Lat Milton Keynes Dons1-22026-10-17
- Wat Wycombe Wanderers4-12026-10-10
- Lvs Bradford City0-12026-09-19
- Lat Stevenage1-22026-09-10
Leicester City form
WDLWW
- Wat Bromley4-02026-10-20
- Wvs Doncaster Rovers2-12026-10-17
- Lvs Peterborough United1-32026-10-10
- Dat Barnsley1-12026-09-19
- Wat Stockport County4-32026-09-12
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.