Luton Town vs Leicester City prediction

England · League One · 24 October 2026

Luton Town13th · 14 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Leicester City10th · 15 pts
Luton TownDrawLeicester City
Our predictionLuton Town to winLean
51%Probability
1.98Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.75-1.42Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Luton Town51%1.98
  • Draw23%4.36
  • Leicester City26%3.78

Double chance

  • Luton Town or draw74%1.36
  • Luton Town or Leicester City77%1.30
  • Draw or Leicester City49%2.02

Goals

  • Over 2.561%1.63
  • Under 2.539%2.59

Both teams to score

  • Yes62%1.60
  • No38%2.66

Match preview

Luton Town have the edge at 51%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 23% and a win for Leicester City at 26%.

Expected goals from the model: Luton Town 1.75, Leicester City 1.42. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 61%.

Luton Town have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (WLWLL).

Leicester City have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWLDW).

In the table Luton Town are 13th with 14 points and Leicester City 10th with 15.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-08%
  • 1-27%
  • 2-26%

Luton Town form

LLWLW
  • Wvs Barnsley2-12026-10-20
  • Lat Milton Keynes Dons1-22026-10-17
  • Wat Wycombe Wanderers4-12026-10-10
  • Lvs Bradford City0-12026-09-19
  • Lat Stevenage1-22026-09-10

Leicester City form

WDLWW
  • Wat Bromley4-02026-10-20
  • Wvs Doncaster Rovers2-12026-10-17
  • Lvs Peterborough United1-32026-10-10
  • Dat Barnsley1-12026-09-19
  • Wat Stockport County4-32026-09-12

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.