Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Stockport County vs Reading prediction

England · League One · 14 November 2026

Stockport County2nd · 26 pts
Sat 14 Nov
Reading6th · 22 pts
Stockport CountyDrawReading
Our predictionStockport County to winLean
51%Probability
1.94Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.69-1.17Expected goals
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Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Stockport County51%1.94
  • Draw25%4.04
  • Reading24%4.20

Double chance

  • Stockport County or draw76%1.31
  • Stockport County or Reading75%1.33
  • Draw or Reading49%2.06

Goals

  • Over 2.555%1.83
  • Under 2.545%2.20

Both teams to score

  • Yes56%1.79
  • No44%2.27

Match in numbers

This season, Stockport County at home and Reading away

Stockport County (home)Reading (away)
Matches77
Points per game2.140.86
Goals scored per game2.291.14
Goals conceded per game1.291.14
Shots on target per game5.64.7
Shots on target conceded4.44.3
Clean sheets29%29%
Over 2.5 goals71%43%
Both teams scored71%43%
  • Stockport County: 2nd in the table; the model rates their attack 6th and their defence 6th in the league.
  • Reading: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 14th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Stockport County matches: 2 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Reading matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Stockport County have the edge at 51%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Reading at 24%.

At home this season Stockport County average 2.14 points and 2.3 goals per game, conceding 1.3. Away from home Reading take 0.86 points per game, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.1. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Stockport County manage 5.6 per home game and Reading 4.7 per away game.

Reading are 6th in the table while the model ranks them only 11th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Expected goals from the model: Stockport County 1.69, Reading 1.17. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 55%.

In their last 4 league meetings Stockport County won 2, Reading won 1 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-110%
  • 2-08%
  • 0-17%

Stockport County form

WWDLW
  • Wvs AFC Wimbledon2-12026-10-31
  • Lat Oxford United0-12026-10-27
  • Dat Notts County1-12026-10-24
  • Wat Doncaster Rovers2-02026-10-20
  • Wvs Bromley1-02026-10-17

Reading form

LWWDL
  • Lat Oxford United0-22026-11-04
  • Dat Plymouth Argyle0-02026-10-31
  • Wvs Barnsley2-12026-10-24
  • Wvs Leyton Orient1-02026-10-21
  • Lat Wigan Athletic0-12026-10-17

Head to head

  • 2026-01-04Reading 1-0 Stockport County
  • 2025-09-27Stockport County 1-1 Reading
  • 2025-01-18Reading 1-3 Stockport County
  • 2024-10-29Stockport County 4-1 Reading

More League One predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-11-09 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.