Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool prediction

England · League One · 14 November 2026

AFC Wimbledon18th · 13 pts
Sat 14 Nov
Blackpool19th · 12 pts
AFC WimbledonDrawBlackpool
Our predictionBlackpool to winOpen game
39%Probability
2.58Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.19-1.32Expected goals
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Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • AFC Wimbledon33%3.05
  • Draw29%3.50
  • Blackpool39%2.58

Double chance

  • AFC Wimbledon or draw61%1.63
  • AFC Wimbledon or Blackpool71%1.40
  • Draw or Blackpool67%1.49

Goals

  • Over 2.546%2.17
  • Under 2.554%1.86

Both teams to score

  • Yes51%1.96
  • No49%2.04

Match in numbers

This season, AFC Wimbledon at home and Blackpool away

AFC Wimbledon (home)Blackpool (away)
Matches66
Points per game1.500.67
Goals scored per game0.500.83
Goals conceded per game0.671.67
Shots on target per game2.23.0
Shots on target conceded5.26.5
Clean sheets67%0%
Over 2.5 goals17%50%
Both teams scored17%67%
  • AFC Wimbledon have gone 7 league matches without a win.
  • AFC Wimbledon: 18th in the table; the model rates their attack 24th and their defence 22nd in the league.
  • Blackpool: 19th in the table; the model rates their attack 16th and their defence 20th in the league.

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 33% for AFC Wimbledon, 29% for the draw and 39% for Blackpool.

At home this season AFC Wimbledon average 1.50 points and 0.5 goals per game, conceding 0.7. Away from home Blackpool take 0.67 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.7. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 2.2 per game for AFC Wimbledon at home and 3.0 for Blackpool on the road.

Current runs: AFC Wimbledon have gone 7 league matches without a win.

AFC Wimbledon are 18th in the table while the model ranks them only 23rd on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

The model expects 1.19 goals from AFC Wimbledon and 1.32 from Blackpool; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 46% and both teams to score 51%.

In their last 5 league meetings AFC Wimbledon won 3 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 0-111%
  • 1-010%
  • 1-28%
  • 0-08%

AFC Wimbledon form

LLLDL
  • Lat Stockport County1-22026-10-31
  • Dvs Wycombe Wanderers1-12026-10-24
  • Lvs Mansfield Town0-32026-10-20
  • Lat Sheffield Wednesday0-52026-10-17
  • Lat Plymouth Argyle1-22026-10-10

Blackpool form

LLWLD
  • Dat Sheffield Wednesday1-12026-11-01
  • Lvs Mansfield Town1-42026-10-24
  • Wvs Milton Keynes Dons2-02026-10-20
  • Lat Leyton Orient0-22026-10-17
  • Lat Cambridge United0-12026-10-10

Head to head

  • 2026-03-11AFC Wimbledon 4-1 Blackpool
  • 2025-10-04Blackpool 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
  • 2021-03-06Blackpool 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
  • 2020-10-27AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Blackpool
  • 2020-02-22AFC Wimbledon 0-0 Blackpool

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Prediction last updated 2026-11-09 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.