Stevenage vs Mansfield Town prediction

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Stevenage 43%, draw 30%, Mansfield Town 27%.

At home this season Stevenage average 1.67 points and 1.5 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Mansfield Town take 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Stevenage manage 4.3 per home game and Mansfield Town 4.4 per away game.

Stevenage sit 16th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 10th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Expected goals from the model: Stevenage 1.20, Mansfield Town 0.90. The single most likely score is 1-0 (15%), and the chance of three or more goals is 35%.

In their last 5 league meetings Stevenage won 1, Mansfield Town won 1 and 3 ended level.

Most likely scores

• 1-015%
• 1-113%
• 0-012%
• 0-111%
• 2-09%

Stevenage form

• Dat Leicester City2-22026-10-31
• Lvs Milton Keynes Dons0-12026-10-24
• Wvs Plymouth Argyle3-02026-10-20
• Lat Bradford City0-22026-10-17
• Wvs Wigan Athletic1-02026-10-10

Mansfield Town form

• Dat Wigan Athletic0-02026-11-03
• Lvs Notts County0-22026-10-31
• Wat Blackpool4-12026-10-24
• Wat AFC Wimbledon3-02026-10-20
• Dvs Oxford United1-12026-10-15