Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley prediction

England · League One · 14 November 2026

Wigan Athletic21st · 11 pts
Sat 14 Nov
Barnsley23rd · 9 pts
Wigan AthleticDrawBarnsley
Our predictionWigan Athletic to winOpen game
39%Probability
2.54Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.25-1.21Expected goals
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Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Wigan Athletic39%2.54
  • Draw28%3.52
  • Barnsley32%3.10

Double chance

  • Wigan Athletic or draw68%1.48
  • Wigan Athletic or Barnsley72%1.40
  • Draw or Barnsley61%1.65

Goals

  • Over 2.545%2.23
  • Under 2.555%1.81

Both teams to score

  • Yes50%2.00
  • No50%2.00

Match in numbers

This season, Wigan Athletic at home and Barnsley away

Wigan Athletic (home)Barnsley (away)
Matches76
Points per game1.430.67
Goals scored per game1.001.00
Goals conceded per game1.431.83
Shots on target per game3.64.2
Shots on target conceded4.14.2
Clean sheets29%17%
Over 2.5 goals43%83%
Both teams scored29%67%
  • Barnsley have gone 8 league matches without a win.
  • Wigan Athletic: 21st in the table; the model rates their attack 23rd and their defence 11th in the league.
  • Barnsley: 23rd in the table; the model rates their attack 11th and their defence 21st in the league.
  • Our predictions for Wigan Athletic matches: 3 of 4 correct.

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 39% for Wigan Athletic, 28% for the draw and 32% for Barnsley.

At home this season Wigan Athletic average 1.43 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 1.4. Away from home Barnsley take 0.67 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 3.6 per game for Wigan Athletic at home and 4.2 for Barnsley on the road.

Current runs: Barnsley have gone 8 league matches without a win.

Barnsley sit 23rd in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 18th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

The model expects 1.25 goals from Wigan Athletic and 1.21 from Barnsley; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13%, over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 50%.

In their last 5 league meetings Wigan Athletic won 1 and 4 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-113%
  • 1-011%
  • 0-111%
  • 0-08%
  • 2-18%

Wigan Athletic form

LLLWD
  • Dvs Mansfield Town0-02026-11-03
  • Wvs Bromley3-22026-10-31
  • Lat Leicester City0-32026-10-27
  • Lat Huddersfield Town1-22026-10-24
  • Lat Oxford United1-22026-10-20

Barnsley form

LLLLD
  • Dvs Oxford United1-12026-10-31
  • Lat Reading1-22026-10-24
  • Lat Luton Town1-22026-10-20
  • Lvs Cambridge United1-22026-10-17
  • Lat Stockport County1-32026-10-10

Head to head

  • 2026-03-17Barnsley 1-1 Wigan Athletic
  • 2026-01-01Wigan Athletic 1-1 Barnsley
  • 2025-03-29Wigan Athletic 1-1 Barnsley
  • 2024-11-23Barnsley 0-1 Wigan Athletic
  • 2024-01-01Barnsley 1-1 Wigan Athletic

More League One predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-11-09 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.