Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Plymouth Argyle vs Reading prediction

England · League One · 31 October 2026

Plymouth Argyle5th · 22 pts
0 - 0Full time
Reading6th · 21 pts
Plymouth ArgyleDrawReading
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Plymouth Argyle to win (50%)
Our predictionPlymouth Argyle to winLean
50%Probability
2.00Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.83-1.29Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Plymouth Argyle50%2.00
  • Draw24%4.11
  • Reading26%3.88

Double chance

  • Plymouth Argyle or draw74%1.35
  • Plymouth Argyle or Reading76%1.32
  • Draw or Reading50%2.00

Goals

  • Over 2.560%1.66
  • Under 2.540%2.52

Both teams to score

  • Yes61%1.65
  • No39%2.54

Match in numbers

This season, Plymouth Argyle at home and Reading away

Plymouth Argyle (home)Reading (away)
Matches65
Points per game1.501.00
Goals scored per game1.331.60
Goals conceded per game1.171.20
Shots on target per game3.85.2
Shots on target conceded3.33.8
Clean sheets33%20%
Over 2.5 goals50%60%
Both teams scored33%60%
  • Plymouth Argyle: 5th in the table; the model rates their attack 5th and their defence 12th in the league.
  • Reading: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 14th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Reading matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

A slight lean towards Plymouth Argyle (50%), though Reading win 26% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 24%.

At home this season Plymouth Argyle average 1.50 points and 1.3 goals per game, conceding 1.2. Away from home Reading take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 3.8 per game for Plymouth Argyle at home and 5.2 for Reading on the road.

Reading are 6th in the table while the model ranks them only 11th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

The model expects 1.83 goals from Plymouth Argyle and 1.29 from Reading; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%, over 2.5 goals 60% and both teams to score 61%.

In their last 2 league meetings Reading won 1 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 2-110%
  • 1-08%
  • 2-07%
  • 1-27%

Plymouth Argyle form

WWLLW
  • Wat Cambridge United3-22026-10-24
  • Lat Stevenage0-32026-10-20
  • Lvs Huddersfield Town0-22026-10-17
  • Wvs AFC Wimbledon2-12026-10-10
  • Wat Leyton Orient2-02026-10-03

Reading form

DWLWW
  • Wvs Barnsley2-12026-10-24
  • Wvs Leyton Orient1-02026-10-21
  • Lat Wigan Athletic0-12026-10-17
  • Wat Milton Keynes Dons5-12026-10-10
  • Dvs Bradford City1-12026-10-03

Head to head

  • 2026-03-14Reading 2-2 Plymouth Argyle
  • 2025-12-26Plymouth Argyle 1-4 Reading

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Prediction made 2026-10-31 12:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.