Oxford United vs Reading prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Oxford United51%1.95
- Draw25%3.94
- Reading23%4.29
Double chance
- Oxford United or draw77%1.30
- Oxford United or Reading75%1.34
- Draw or Reading49%2.05
Goals
- Over 2.555%1.81
- Under 2.545%2.24
Both teams to score
- Yes55%1.80
- No45%2.25
Match in numbers
This season, Oxford United at home and Reading away
| Oxford United (home) | Reading (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.7 | 5.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.2 | 3.8 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
- Oxford United are unbeaten in 9 league matches.
- Oxford United: 4th in the table; the model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 4th in the league.
- Reading: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 14th in the league.
- Our predictions for Oxford United matches: 2 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Reading matches: 2 of 3 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Oxford United (51%), though Reading win 23% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 25%.
At home this season Oxford United average 2.00 points and 1.5 goals per game, conceding 0.7. Away from home Reading take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.7 per game for Oxford United at home and 5.0 for Reading on the road.
Current runs: Oxford United are unbeaten in 9 league matches.
Reading are 6th in the table while the model ranks them only 11th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
The model expects 1.79 goals from Oxford United and 1.10 from Reading; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%, over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 55%.
Both of their last league meetings ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-010%
- 2-110%
- 2-09%
- 0-16%
Oxford United form
- Dat Barnsley1-12026-10-31
- Wvs Stockport County1-02026-10-27
- Dvs Bradford City0-02026-10-24
- Wvs Wigan Athletic2-12026-10-20
- Dat Mansfield Town1-12026-10-15
Reading form
- Dat Plymouth Argyle0-02026-10-31
- Wvs Barnsley2-12026-10-24
- Wvs Leyton Orient1-02026-10-21
- Lat Wigan Athletic0-12026-10-17
- Wat Milton Keynes Dons5-12026-10-10
Head to head
- 2024-02-03Oxford United 1-1 Reading
- 2023-12-12Reading 1-1 Oxford United
More League One predictions
All matches ›Prediction made 2026-11-04 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.

