Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

New York City predictions

Model probabilities for the next New York City match, every past prediction checked against the result, and their season in numbers.

19thin the MLS table
23points from 19 matches
5-8-6won, drawn, lost
24-24goals for and against

No scheduled matches in the next eight days.

Past New York City predictions

Full history ›

Stored before kick-off and never changed. A percentage appears here from 10 matches; so far there are 4.

New York City in the backtest

July 2023 to October 2026

We ran the current model over New York City league matches, predicting each one only from the matches played before it.

43.3%right result in 52 of 120 New York City matches
33 of 70New York City wins when the model favoured them
15 of 50New York City wins when the model favoured the opponent
Season (July to June)MatchesRight result
2026-27154 of 15 (27%)
2025-263412 of 34 (35%)
2024-253716 of 37 (43%)
2023-243420 of 34 (59%)

Calculated after the fact, so this is not part of the live record. A high figure can simply mean this team's results are easier to predict. Across all 21,272 matches the model named the right result 50.9% of the time; see accuracy.

New York City this season

League matches in our data

AllHomeAway
Matches19910
Points per game1.211.111.30
Goals scored per game1.261.221.30
Goals conceded per game1.261.221.30
Shots on target per game4.54.04.9
Shots on target conceded4.63.95.3
Clean sheets16%11%20%
Over 2.5 goals47%44%50%
Both teams scored74%78%70%
  • New York City are unbeaten in 5 league matches.
  • The model rates their attack 22nd and their defence 6th in the league.

New York City form

DDWDW
  • Wat DC United1-02026-11-07
  • Dvs Montréal1-12026-10-31
  • Wvs Atlanta United2-12026-10-28
  • Dat Orlando City2-22026-10-24
  • Dvs Los Angeles1-12026-10-17

Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Not betting advice, 18+. See how it works and the track record.