DC United vs New York City prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- DC United31%3.24
- Draw27%3.67
- New York City42%2.39
Double chance
- DC United or draw58%1.72
- DC United or New York City73%1.37
- Draw or New York City69%1.45
Goals
- Over 2.550%2.00
- Under 2.550%2.00
Both teams to score
- Yes54%1.85
- No46%2.17
Match in numbers
This season, DC United at home and New York City away
| DC United (home) | New York City (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 9 |
| Points per game | 1.33 | 1.11 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.33 | 1.44 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.7 | 4.9 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.6 | 5.3 |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 56% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 78% |
- DC United have lost their last 5 league matches.
- DC United: 28th in the table; the model rates their attack 29th and their defence 22nd in the league.
- New York City: 21st in the table; the model rates their attack 22nd and their defence 6th in the league.
- Our predictions for DC United matches: 4 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for New York City matches: 2 of 4 correct.
Match preview
Hard to call. The model spreads it 31% for DC United, 27% for the draw and 42% for New York City.
At home this season DC United average 1.33 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 1.3. Away from home New York City take 1.11 points per game, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.4. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.7 per game for DC United at home and 4.9 for New York City on the road.
Current runs: DC United have lost their last 5 league matches.
New York City sit 21st in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 11th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
The model expects 1.27 goals from DC United and 1.41 from New York City; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 50% and both teams to score 54%.
In their last 5 league meetings DC United won 2, New York City won 1 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 0-110%
- 1-09%
- 1-29%
- 2-18%
DC United form
- Lat Columbus Crew0-32026-10-31
- Lat Toronto1-22026-10-28
- Lvs Cincinnati0-22026-10-24
- Lat Cincinnati1-22026-10-21
- Lat Orlando City1-42026-10-17
New York City form
- Dvs Montréal1-12026-10-31
- Wvs Atlanta United2-12026-10-28
- Dat Orlando City2-22026-10-24
- Dvs Los Angeles1-12026-10-17
- Lat Inter Miami0-22026-10-14
Head to head
- 2026-05-03New York City 0-2 DC United
- 2025-08-30New York City 1-2 DC United
- 2025-05-15DC United 0-0 New York City
- 2024-09-15DC United 1-1 New York City
- 2024-04-21New York City 2-0 DC United
Prediction made 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.