New York City vs Atlanta United prediction
New York City24th · 15 pts
Atlanta United18th · 19 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- New York City53%1.87
- Draw25%3.95
- Atlanta United21%4.70
Double chance
- New York City or draw79%1.27
- New York City or Atlanta United75%1.34
- Draw or Atlanta United47%2.15
Goals
- Over 2.546%2.17
- Under 2.554%1.86
Both teams to score
- Yes49%2.04
- No51%1.96
Match preview
New York City have the edge at 53%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Atlanta United at 21%.
Expected goals from the model: New York City 1.53, Atlanta United 0.99. The single most likely score is 1-0 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 46%.
New York City have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (DLLDL).
Atlanta United have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LWLDW).
In the table New York City are 24th with 15 points and Atlanta United 18th with 19.
In their last 5 league meetings New York City won 1, Atlanta United won 1 and 3 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-013%
- 1-112%
- 2-09%
- 2-19%
- 0-18%
New York City form
- Dvs Los Angeles1-12026-10-17
- Lat Inter Miami0-22026-10-14
- Lat Chicago Fire1-22026-10-10
- Dat Atlanta United2-22026-09-26
- Lvs New York RB0-12026-09-18
Atlanta United form
- Lvs Inter Miami1-32026-10-17
- Wat Montréal3-02026-10-14
- Lvs Cincinnati1-32026-10-10
- Dvs New York City2-22026-09-26
- Wat Portland Timbers1-02026-09-20
Head to head
- 2026-09-26Atlanta United 2-2 New York City
- 2025-06-13New York City 4-0 Atlanta United
- 2025-03-29Atlanta United 4-3 New York City
- 2024-07-18Atlanta United 2-2 New York City
- 2024-04-07New York City 1-1 Atlanta United
More MLS predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.