Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Watford predictions

Model probabilities for the next Watford match, every past prediction checked against the result, and their season in numbers.

20thin the Championship table
15points from 15 matches
4-3-8won, drawn, lost
13-23goals for and against

No scheduled matches in the next eight days.

Past Watford predictions

Full history ›

Stored before kick-off and never changed. A percentage appears here from 10 matches; so far there are 4.

Watford in the backtest

July 2023 to October 2026

We ran the current model over Watford league matches, predicting each one only from the matches played before it.

47.3%right result in 70 of 148 Watford matches
29 of 65Watford wins when the model favoured them
17 of 83Watford wins when the model favoured the opponent
Season (July to June)MatchesRight result
2026-27116 of 11 (55%)
2025-264519 of 45 (42%)
2024-254625 of 46 (54%)
2023-244620 of 46 (43%)

Calculated after the fact, so this is not part of the live record. A high figure can simply mean this team's results are easier to predict. Across all 21,272 matches the model named the right result 50.9% of the time; see accuracy.

Watford this season

League matches in our data

AllHomeAway
Matches1587
Points per game1.001.750.14
Goals scored per game0.871.120.57
Goals conceded per game1.531.122.00
Shots on target per game4.04.23.7
Shots on target conceded4.94.06.0
Clean sheets20%38%0%
Over 2.5 goals40%50%29%
Both teams scored47%50%43%
  • The model rates their attack 17th and their defence 17th in the league.

Watford form

WLLWD
  • Dvs Middlesbrough0-02026-11-07
  • Wvs Lincoln City1-02026-11-03
  • Lat Norwich City2-32026-10-31
  • Lat Wolverhampton Wanderers0-12026-10-24
  • Wvs Charlton Athletic2-02026-10-17

Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Not betting advice, 18+. See how it works and the track record.