Watford vs Lincoln City prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Watford42%2.39
- Draw26%3.86
- Lincoln City32%3.10
Double chance
- Watford or draw68%1.48
- Watford or Lincoln City74%1.35
- Draw or Lincoln City58%1.72
Goals
- Over 2.554%1.87
- Under 2.546%2.16
Both teams to score
- Yes55%1.83
- No45%2.21
Match in numbers
This season, Watford at home and Lincoln City away
| Watford (home) | Lincoln City (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.2 | 2.7 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 33% |
- Watford: 21st in the table; the model rates their attack 17th and their defence 17th in the league.
- Lincoln City: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 23rd and their defence 23rd in the league.
- Our predictions for Watford matches: 3 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Lincoln City matches: 3 of 4 correct.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Watford 42%, draw 26%, Lincoln City 32%.
At home this season Watford average 1.67 points and 1.3 goals per game, conceding 1.5. Away from home Lincoln City take 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Watford manage 5.2 per home game and Lincoln City 2.7 per away game.
Lincoln City are 16th in the table while the model ranks them only 24th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
Expected goals from the model: Watford 1.72, Lincoln City 1.10. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 54%.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-010%
- 2-110%
- 2-09%
- 0-17%
Watford form
- Lat Norwich City2-32026-10-31
- Lat Wolverhampton Wanderers0-12026-10-24
- Wvs Charlton Athletic2-02026-10-17
- Lat Cardiff City1-52026-10-13
- Lvs Burnley0-42026-10-10
Lincoln City form
- Lvs Birmingham City1-32026-10-31
- Wvs Burnley4-12026-10-24
- Dat Millwall2-22026-10-17
- Lvs West Ham United0-62026-10-14
- Lat Sheffield United0-32026-10-10
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
Prediction made 2026-11-03 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.