Watford vs Middlesbrough prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Watford22%4.52
- Draw25%4.08
- Middlesbrough53%1.87
Double chance
- Watford or draw47%2.15
- Watford or Middlesbrough75%1.32
- Draw or Middlesbrough78%1.28
Goals
- Over 2.551%1.94
- Under 2.549%2.06
Both teams to score
- Yes53%1.87
- No47%2.14
Match in numbers
This season, Watford at home and Middlesbrough away
| Watford (home) | Middlesbrough (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 1.57 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.29 | 1.86 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.29 | 1.43 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.7 | 5.3 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.0 | 3.7 |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 57% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 71% |
- Watford: 20th in the table; the model rates their attack 17th and their defence 17th in the league.
- Middlesbrough: 2nd in the table; the model rates their attack 3rd and their defence 1st in the league.
- Our predictions for Watford matches: 3 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Middlesbrough matches: 2 of 4 correct.
Match preview
Middlesbrough have the edge at 53%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Watford at 22%.
At home this season Watford average 1.86 points and 1.3 goals per game, conceding 1.3. Away from home Middlesbrough take 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.4. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Watford manage 4.7 per home game and Middlesbrough 5.3 per away game.
Expected goals from the model: Watford 1.09, Middlesbrough 1.64. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 51%.
In their last 5 league meetings Watford won 3 and Middlesbrough won 2.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 0-111%
- 1-210%
- 0-29%
- 1-07%
Watford form
- Wvs Lincoln City1-02026-11-03
- Lat Norwich City2-32026-10-31
- Lat Wolverhampton Wanderers0-12026-10-24
- Wvs Charlton Athletic2-02026-10-17
- Lat Cardiff City1-52026-10-13
Middlesbrough form
- Lat Wrexham0-22026-11-04
- Wvs Charlton Athletic3-02026-10-31
- Wat Bolton Wanderers5-12026-10-23
- Dvs Cardiff City2-22026-10-17
- Wat Stoke City3-22026-10-13
Head to head
- 2026-04-25Middlesbrough 5-1 Watford
- 2025-11-01Watford 3-0 Middlesbrough
- 2025-02-15Middlesbrough 0-1 Watford
- 2024-10-05Watford 2-1 Middlesbrough
- 2024-05-04Middlesbrough 3-1 Watford
Prediction made 2026-11-07 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.