Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Middlesbrough predictions

Model probabilities for the next Middlesbrough match, every past prediction checked against the result, and their season in numbers.

2ndin the Championship table
29points from 15 matches
8-5-2won, drawn, lost
30-19goals for and against

No scheduled matches in the next eight days.

Past Middlesbrough predictions

Full history ›

Stored before kick-off and never changed. A percentage appears here from 10 matches; so far there are 4.

Middlesbrough in the backtest

July 2023 to October 2026

We ran the current model over Middlesbrough league matches, predicting each one only from the matches played before it.

44.0%right result in 66 of 150 Middlesbrough matches
52 of 113Middlesbrough wins when the model favoured them
13 of 37Middlesbrough wins when the model favoured the opponent
Season (July to June)MatchesRight result
2026-27105 of 10 (50%)
2025-264817 of 48 (35%)
2024-254624 of 46 (52%)
2023-244620 of 46 (43%)

Calculated after the fact, so this is not part of the live record. A high figure can simply mean this team's results are easier to predict. Across all 21,272 matches the model named the right result 50.9% of the time; see accuracy.

Middlesbrough this season

League matches in our data

AllHomeAway
Matches1578
Points per game1.932.431.50
Goals scored per game2.002.431.62
Goals conceded per game1.271.291.25
Shots on target per game6.27.35.1
Shots on target conceded3.23.03.3
Clean sheets27%29%25%
Over 2.5 goals67%86%50%
Both teams scored67%71%62%
  • The model rates their attack 3rd and their defence 1st in the league.

Middlesbrough form

DWWLD
  • Dat Watford0-02026-11-07
  • Lat Wrexham0-22026-11-04
  • Wvs Charlton Athletic3-02026-10-31
  • Wat Bolton Wanderers5-12026-10-23
  • Dvs Cardiff City2-22026-10-17

Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Not betting advice, 18+. See how it works and the track record.