Updated 07:17 UTCTrack record

Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic prediction

England · Championship · 31 October 2026

Middlesbrough1st · 25 pts
Sat 31 Oct
Charlton Athletic16th · 14 pts
MiddlesbroughDrawCharlton Athletic
Our predictionMiddlesbrough to winStrong pick
72%Probability
1.38Fair odds
1-0Likely score
2.02-0.73Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Middlesbrough72%1.38
  • Draw18%5.54
  • Charlton Athletic10%10.42

Double chance

  • Middlesbrough or draw90%1.11
  • Middlesbrough or Charlton Athletic82%1.22
  • Draw or Charlton Athletic28%3.62

Goals

  • Over 2.552%1.93
  • Under 2.548%2.07

Both teams to score

  • Yes45%2.24
  • No55%1.81

Match in numbers

This season, Middlesbrough at home and Charlton Athletic away

Middlesbrough (home)Charlton Athletic (away)
Matches66
Points per game2.330.83
Goals scored per game2.331.00
Goals conceded per game1.502.17
Shots on target per game7.63.3
Shots on target conceded3.67.0
Clean sheets17%0%
Over 2.5 goals83%67%
Both teams scored83%67%
  • Middlesbrough are unbeaten in 10 league matches.
  • Charlton Athletic have gone 8 league matches without a win.
  • Middlesbrough: 1st in the table; the model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 1st in the league.
  • Charlton Athletic: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 23rd and their defence 17th in the league.

Match preview

On the numbers this is Middlesbrough's match to lose. The model gives them 72%, with the draw at 18% and Charlton Athletic at 10%.

At home this season Middlesbrough average 2.33 points and 2.3 goals per game, conceding 1.5. Away from home Charlton Athletic take 0.83 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.2. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 7.6 per game for Middlesbrough at home and 3.3 for Charlton Athletic on the road.

Current runs: Middlesbrough are unbeaten in 10 league matches; Charlton Athletic have gone 8 league matches without a win.

Charlton Athletic are 16th in the table while the model ranks them only 22nd on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

The model expects 2.02 goals from Middlesbrough and 0.73 from Charlton Athletic; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13%, over 2.5 goals 52% and both teams to score 45%.

In their last 3 league meetings Middlesbrough won 2 and Charlton Athletic won 1.

Most likely scores

  • 1-013%
  • 2-013%
  • 2-110%
  • 1-19%
  • 3-09%

Middlesbrough form

DWWDW
  • Wat Bolton Wanderers5-12026-10-23
  • Dvs Cardiff City2-22026-10-17
  • Wat Stoke City3-22026-10-13
  • Wvs Wolverhampton Wanderers1-02026-10-10
  • Dat Birmingham City2-22026-09-19

Charlton Athletic form

DLDDL
  • Lat Watford0-22026-10-17
  • Dat Burnley2-22026-10-13
  • Dvs Bristol City1-12026-10-10
  • Lat Cardiff City1-32026-09-19
  • Dvs Portsmouth0-02026-09-12

Head to head

  • 2026-03-11Middlesbrough 0-1 Charlton Athletic
  • 2025-12-09Charlton Athletic 1-2 Middlesbrough
  • 2020-03-07Charlton Athletic 0-1 Middlesbrough

More Championship predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.