Sheffield United vs Derby County prediction
Sheffield United11th · 15 pts
Derby County23rd · 6 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Sheffield United53%1.88
- Draw25%4.03
- Derby County22%4.54
Double chance
- Sheffield United or draw78%1.28
- Sheffield United or Derby County75%1.33
- Draw or Derby County47%2.14
Goals
- Over 2.550%2.02
- Under 2.550%1.98
Both teams to score
- Yes52%1.93
- No48%2.08
Match preview
Sheffield United have the edge at 53%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Derby County at 22%.
Expected goals from the model: Sheffield United 1.59, Derby County 1.06. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 50%.
Sheffield United have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (WLWLL).
Derby County have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLDDL).
In the table Sheffield United are 11th with 15 points and Derby County 23rd with 6.
In their last 5 league meetings Sheffield United won 3, Derby County won 2 and 0 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 1-011%
- 2-19%
- 2-09%
- 0-18%
Sheffield United form
- Wat Bristol City1-02026-10-17
- Lat Portsmouth2-32026-10-14
- Wvs Lincoln City3-02026-10-10
- Lat Stoke City1-22026-09-19
- Lvs Wolverhampton Wanderers0-12026-09-13
Derby County form
- Lvs Stoke City0-12026-10-17
- Lat Queens Park Rangers1-42026-10-14
- Dvs Wrexham1-12026-10-10
- Dat Burnley1-12026-09-19
- Lvs Birmingham City1-22026-09-12
Head to head
- 2026-05-02Derby County 1-2 Sheffield United
- 2025-11-01Sheffield United 1-3 Derby County
- 2025-02-01Derby County 0-1 Sheffield United
- 2024-09-21Sheffield United 1-0 Derby County
- 2022-01-15Derby County 2-0 Sheffield United
More Championship predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.