Portsmouth vs Millwall prediction

England · Championship · 24 October 2026

Portsmouth13th · 15 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Millwall12th · 15 pts
PortsmouthDrawMillwall
Our predictionMillwall to winOpen game
36%Probability
2.79Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.16-1.23Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Portsmouth35%2.86
  • Draw29%3.42
  • Millwall36%2.79

Double chance

  • Portsmouth or draw64%1.56
  • Portsmouth or Millwall71%1.41
  • Draw or Millwall65%1.54

Goals

  • Over 2.543%2.33
  • Under 2.557%1.75

Both teams to score

  • Yes48%2.06
  • No52%1.94

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Portsmouth 35%, draw 29%, Millwall 36%.

Expected goals from the model: Portsmouth 1.16, Millwall 1.23. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 43%.

Portsmouth have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DWWLD).

Millwall have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DLWDD).

In the table Portsmouth are 13th with 15 points and Millwall 12th with 15.

In their last 4 league meetings Portsmouth won 2, Millwall won 2 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-113%
  • 0-111%
  • 1-011%
  • 0-09%
  • 1-28%

Portsmouth form

DLWWD
  • Dat Wolverhampton Wanderers1-12026-10-20
  • Wat Norwich City1-02026-10-17
  • Wvs Sheffield United3-22026-10-14
  • Lat Southampton0-12026-10-11
  • Dvs Blackburn Rovers2-22026-09-19

Millwall form

DDWLD
  • Dvs Lincoln City2-22026-10-17
  • Lvs Swansea City0-12026-10-13
  • Wat Preston North End1-02026-10-10
  • Dvs West Ham United2-22026-09-19
  • Dat Middlesbrough2-22026-09-15

Head to head

  • 2026-02-21Millwall 1-3 Portsmouth
  • 2025-11-22Portsmouth 3-1 Millwall
  • 2025-04-05Millwall 2-1 Portsmouth
  • 2025-01-28Portsmouth 0-1 Millwall

More Championship predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.