Portsmouth vs Millwall prediction
Portsmouth13th · 15 ptsSat 24 Oct
Millwall12th · 15 ptsPortsmouthDrawMillwall
Our predictionMillwall to winOpen game
36%Probability
2.79Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.16-1.23Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Portsmouth35%2.86
- Draw29%3.42
- Millwall36%2.79
Double chance
- Portsmouth or draw64%1.56
- Portsmouth or Millwall71%1.41
- Draw or Millwall65%1.54
Goals
- Over 2.543%2.33
- Under 2.557%1.75
Both teams to score
- Yes48%2.06
- No52%1.94
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Portsmouth 35%, draw 29%, Millwall 36%.
Expected goals from the model: Portsmouth 1.16, Millwall 1.23. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 43%.
Portsmouth have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DWWLD).
Millwall have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DLWDD).
In the table Portsmouth are 13th with 15 points and Millwall 12th with 15.
In their last 4 league meetings Portsmouth won 2, Millwall won 2 and 0 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 0-111%
- 1-011%
- 0-09%
- 1-28%
Portsmouth form
DLWWD
- Dat Wolverhampton Wanderers1-12026-10-20
- Wat Norwich City1-02026-10-17
- Wvs Sheffield United3-22026-10-14
- Lat Southampton0-12026-10-11
- Dvs Blackburn Rovers2-22026-09-19
Millwall form
DDWLD
- Dvs Lincoln City2-22026-10-17
- Lvs Swansea City0-12026-10-13
- Wat Preston North End1-02026-10-10
- Dvs West Ham United2-22026-09-19
- Dat Middlesbrough2-22026-09-15
Head to head
- 2026-02-21Millwall 1-3 Portsmouth
- 2025-11-22Portsmouth 3-1 Millwall
- 2025-04-05Millwall 2-1 Portsmouth
- 2025-01-28Portsmouth 0-1 Millwall
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BurnleyMatch result
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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.