Lincoln City vs Burnley prediction

England · Championship · 24 October 2026

Lincoln City18th · 12 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Burnley22nd · 8 pts
Lincoln CityDrawBurnley
Our predictionBurnley to winOpen game
37%Probability
2.69Fair odds
0-1Likely score
1.03-1.51Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Lincoln City37%2.71
  • Draw26%3.86
  • Burnley37%2.69

Double chance

  • Lincoln City or draw63%1.59
  • Lincoln City or Burnley74%1.35
  • Draw or Burnley63%1.59

Goals

  • Over 2.547%2.15
  • Under 2.553%1.87

Both teams to score

  • Yes50%2.01
  • No50%1.99

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Lincoln City 37%, draw 26%, Burnley 37%.

Expected goals from the model: Lincoln City 1.03, Burnley 1.51. The single most likely score is 0-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 47%.

Lincoln City have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (DLLLW).

Burnley have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LDWDL).

In the table Lincoln City are 18th with 12 points and Burnley 22nd with 8.

Most likely scores

  • 0-112%
  • 1-112%
  • 1-29%
  • 0-29%
  • 1-08%

Lincoln City form

WLLLD
  • Dat Millwall2-22026-10-17
  • Lvs West Ham United0-62026-10-14
  • Lat Sheffield United0-32026-10-10
  • Lvs Swansea City1-22026-09-19
  • Wat Bristol City1-02026-09-15

Burnley form

LDWDL
  • Lvs Wolverhampton Wanderers1-22026-10-16
  • Dvs Charlton Athletic2-22026-10-13
  • Wat Watford4-02026-10-10
  • Dvs Derby County1-12026-09-19
  • Lat Swansea City1-32026-09-12

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

More Championship predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.